Belgian Pro League | Gameweek 11
Dec 1, 2020 at 4pm UK
Stade Le Canonnier

Mouscron
3 - 2
Sint-Truiden

Bakic (18'), da Costa (53'), Faraj (81')
Bakic (17'), Koffi (34'), Xadas (90+5')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Suzuki (63' pen.), Nakamura (90+1')
Sory Sankhon (17'), Garcia (37'), Janssens (90+2')
Coverage of the Belgian Pro League clash between Royal Excel Mouscron and Sint-Truiden.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Royal Excel Mouscron win with a probability of 40.77%. A win for Sint-Truiden had a probability of 33.31% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Royal Excel Mouscron win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.7%) and 2-0 (6.95%). The likeliest Sint-Truiden win was 0-1 (8.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.31%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Royal Excel Mouscron would win this match.

Result
Royal Excel MouscronDrawSint-Truiden
40.77%25.91%33.31%
Both teams to score 54.02%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.77%50.22%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.82%72.18%
Royal Excel Mouscron Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.66%24.34%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.26%58.73%
Sint-Truiden Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.4%28.59%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.6%64.39%
Score Analysis
    Royal Excel Mouscron 40.77%
    Sint-Truiden 33.31%
    Draw 25.91%
Royal Excel MouscronDrawSint-Truiden
1-0 @ 9.83%
2-1 @ 8.7%
2-0 @ 6.95%
3-1 @ 4.1%
3-0 @ 3.27%
3-2 @ 2.57%
4-1 @ 1.45%
4-0 @ 1.16%
4-2 @ 0.91%
Other @ 1.84%
Total : 40.77%
1-1 @ 12.31%
0-0 @ 6.96%
2-2 @ 5.45%
3-3 @ 1.07%
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.91%
0-1 @ 8.71%
1-2 @ 7.71%
0-2 @ 5.45%
1-3 @ 3.22%
0-3 @ 2.28%
2-3 @ 2.27%
1-4 @ 1.01%
Other @ 2.66%
Total : 33.31%