Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Genk win with a probability of 61.68%. A draw had a probability of 19.8% and a win for Eupen had a probability of 18.56%.
The most likely scoreline for a Genk win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.63%) and 0-1 (7.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.87%), while for a Eupen win it was 2-1 (5.02%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood.
