Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Neman win with a probability of 40.71%. A win for Belshina had a probability of 32.01% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Neman win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.45%) and 0-2 (7.49%). The likeliest Belshina win was 1-0 (9.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.91%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Neman in this match.