Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a BATE Borisov win with a probability of 71.17%. A draw had a probability of 18.8% and a win for Gorodeya had a probability of 10.07%.
The most likely scoreline for a BATE Borisov win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (13.91%) and 3-0 (9.97%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.74%), while for a Gorodeya win it was 0-1 (4.22%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that BATE Borisov would win this match.
