Champions League
Gameweek
4
-
Lamine Yamal
7'
-
Raphinha
45'
-
Raphinha
52'
-
Raphinha
64'
-
Ian Maatsen 11'
-
Emiliano Buendía 31'
-
Nicolas Jackson 45'
Barcelona vs Aston Villa - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
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The match
Result
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Match Preview
Predicted Lineups
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona win with a probability of 68.46%. A draw had a probability of 15.8% and a win for Aston Villa had a probability of 15.73%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona win was 2-1 with a probability of 7.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.48%) and 3-1 (7.32%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.62%) , while for a Aston Villa win it was 1-2 (3.91%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood.
Result
Barcelona
68.46%
▲
(+0.03)
Draw
15.8%
Aston Villa
15.73%
▼
(-0.08)
Both Teams to Score:
59.99%
▼
(-0.16)
Goals
Over 1.5
88.32%
▼
(-0.14)
Under 1.5
11.68%
▲
(+0.13)
Over 2.5
72.37%
▼
(-0.18)
Under 2.5
27.63%
▲
(+0.17)
Over 3.5
53.5%
▼
(-0.16)
Under 3.5
46.5%
▲
(+0.16)
Over 4.5
39.83%
▼
(-0.13)
Under 4.5
60.17%
▲
(+0.13)
First Half Winner
Barcelona
55.27%
Draw
27.88%
Aston Villa
16.85%
Team To Score First
Barcelona
66.99%
▼
(-0.02)
No Goal
2.55%
▲
(+0.03)
Aston Villa
30.46%
▼
(-0.01)
Corners
Over 8
62.17%
Equal 8
9.76%
Under 8
28.07%
Over 9
51.87%
Equal 9
10.3%
Under 9
37.83%
Over 10.5
41.77%
Under 10.5
58.23%
Barcelona Goals
Over 1.5
71.13%
▼
(-0.08)
Under 1.5
28.87%
▲
(+0.08)
Over 2.5
49.26%
▼
(-0.08)
Under 2.5
50.74%
▲
(+0.08)
Over 3.5
29.1%
▼
(-0.05)
Under 3.5
70.9%
▲
(+0.06)
Aston Villa Goals
Over 0.5
48.19%
▼
(-0.14)
Under 0.5
51.81%
▲
(+0.14)
Over 1.5
23.59%
▼
(-0.15)
Under 1.5
76.41%
▲
(+0.15)
Over 2.5
8.93%
▼
(-0.09)
Under 2.5
91.07%
▲
(+0.09)
Over 3.5
2.93%
▼
(-0.05)
Under 3.5
97.07%
▲
(+0.04)
Score analysis
Barcelona
68.46%
Draw
15.81%
Aston Villa
15.72%
Barcelona
2-1
@
7.63%
2-0 @ 7.48% ▲ (+0.04)
3-1 @ 7.32% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 6.87% ▲ (+0.03)
1-0 @ 6.09% ▲ (+0.05)
3-2 @ 4.26% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 28.81% ▼ (-0.05)
Total : 68.46%
2-0 @ 7.48% ▲ (+0.04)
3-1 @ 7.32% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 6.87% ▲ (+0.03)
1-0 @ 6.09% ▲ (+0.05)
3-2 @ 4.26% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 28.81% ▼ (-0.05)
Total : 68.46%
Draw
1-1
@
6.62%
▲
(+0.03)
2-2 @ 4.64% ▼ (-0.03)
0-0 @ 2.55% ▲ (+0.03)
3-3 @ 1.71% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 0.29% ▼ (-0.02)
Total : 15.81%
2-2 @ 4.64% ▼ (-0.03)
0-0 @ 2.55% ▲ (+0.03)
3-3 @ 1.71% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 0.29% ▼ (-0.02)
Total : 15.81%
Aston Villa
1-2
@
3.91%
▼
(-0.01)
0-1 @ 3.03% ▲ (+0.01)
2-3 @ 2.12% ▼ (-0.01)
0-2 @ 1.85% ▼ (-0.02)
1-3 @ 1.71% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 2.64% ▼ (-0.03)
Total : 15.72%
0-1 @ 3.03% ▲ (+0.01)
2-3 @ 2.12% ▼ (-0.01)
0-2 @ 1.85% ▼ (-0.02)
1-3 @ 1.71% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 2.64% ▼ (-0.03)
Total : 15.72%
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