Champions League Gameweek 4
Nov 3, 2026 8.00pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT Spotify Camp Nou
  • Lamine Yamal 7' goal
  • Raphinha 45' yellowcard
  • Raphinha 52' goal
  • Raphinha 64' goal
  • yellowcard Ian Maatsen 11'
  • yellowcard Emiliano Buendía 31'
  • yellowcard Nicolas Jackson 45'

Barcelona vs Aston Villa - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

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The match

Result
Team News
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Predicted Lineups

Form, Standings, Stats

Barcelona

All competitions
Champions League
Last game
Sep 9, 2026 5.45pm
Barcelona 5 - 1 Feyenoord

Aston Villa

All competitions
Champions League
Last game
Sep 8, 2026 5.45pm
Brugge 2 - 3 Aston Villa

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona win with a probability of 68.46%. A draw had a probability of 15.8% and a win for Aston Villa had a probability of 15.73%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona win was 2-1 with a probability of 7.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.48%) and 3-1 (7.32%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.62%) , while for a Aston Villa win it was 1-2 (3.91%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood.

Result

Barcelona 68.46% ▲ (+0.03)
Draw 15.8%
Aston Villa 15.73% ▼ (-0.08)

Both Teams to Score: 

59.99% ▼ (-0.16)

Goals

Over 1.5 88.32% ▼ (-0.14)
Under 1.5 11.68% ▲ (+0.13)
Over 2.5 72.37% ▼ (-0.18)
Under 2.5 27.63% ▲ (+0.17)
Over 3.5 53.5% ▼ (-0.16)
Under 3.5 46.5% ▲ (+0.16)
Over 4.5 39.83% ▼ (-0.13)
Under 4.5 60.17% ▲ (+0.13)

First Half Winner

Barcelona 55.27%
Draw 27.88%
Aston Villa 16.85%

Team To Score First

Barcelona 66.99% ▼ (-0.02)
No Goal 2.55% ▲ (+0.03)
Aston Villa 30.46% ▼ (-0.01)

Corners

Over 8 62.17%
Equal 8 9.76%
Under 8 28.07%
Over 9 51.87%
Equal 9 10.3%
Under 9 37.83%
Over 10.5 41.77%
Under 10.5 58.23%

Barcelona Goals

Over 1.5 71.13% ▼ (-0.08)
Under 1.5 28.87% ▲ (+0.08)
Over 2.5 49.26% ▼ (-0.08)
Under 2.5 50.74% ▲ (+0.08)
Over 3.5 29.1% ▼ (-0.05)
Under 3.5 70.9% ▲ (+0.06)

Aston Villa Goals

Over 0.5 48.19% ▼ (-0.14)
Under 0.5 51.81% ▲ (+0.14)
Over 1.5 23.59% ▼ (-0.15)
Under 1.5 76.41% ▲ (+0.15)
Over 2.5 8.93% ▼ (-0.09)
Under 2.5 91.07% ▲ (+0.09)
Over 3.5 2.93% ▼ (-0.05)
Under 3.5 97.07% ▲ (+0.04)

Score analysis

Barcelona 68.46%
Draw 15.81%
Aston Villa 15.72%
Barcelona
2-1 @ 7.63%
2-0 @ 7.48% ▲ (+0.04)
3-1 @ 7.32% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 6.87% ▲ (+0.03)
1-0 @ 6.09% ▲ (+0.05)
3-2 @ 4.26% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 28.81% ▼ (-0.05)
Total : 68.46%
Draw
1-1 @ 6.62% ▲ (+0.03)
2-2 @ 4.64% ▼ (-0.03)
0-0 @ 2.55% ▲ (+0.03)
3-3 @ 1.71% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 0.29% ▼ (-0.02)
Total : 15.81%
Aston Villa
1-2 @ 3.91% ▼ (-0.01)
0-1 @ 3.03% ▲ (+0.01)
2-3 @ 2.12% ▼ (-0.01)
0-2 @ 1.85% ▼ (-0.02)
1-3 @ 1.71% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 2.64% ▼ (-0.03)
Total : 15.72%

Build-up

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