AFC Champions League | Group Stage
Jun 29, 2021 at 11am UK
Big Crown

Ulsan
2 - 0
Pathum Utd

Kim (24'), Hinterseer (45+2')
Qazaishvili (80'), Hyung-min (90+2')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Diogo (90+1')
Coverage of the AFC Champions League Group Stage clash between Ulsan Hyundai and BG Pathum United.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ulsan Hyundai win with a probability of 51.22%. A draw had a probability of 24.8% and a win for BG Pathum United had a probability of 23.99%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ulsan Hyundai win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.55%) and 2-0 (9.31%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.78%), while for a BG Pathum United win it was 0-1 (7.27%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ulsan Hyundai would win this match.

Result
Ulsan HyundaiDrawBG Pathum United
51.22%24.78%23.99%
Both teams to score 51.47%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.32%50.67%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.42%72.58%
Ulsan Hyundai Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.22%19.78%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.17%51.83%
BG Pathum United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.16%35.83%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.39%72.61%
Score Analysis
    Ulsan Hyundai 51.22%
    BG Pathum United 23.99%
    Draw 24.77%
Ulsan HyundaiDrawBG Pathum United
1-0 @ 11.48%
2-1 @ 9.55%
2-0 @ 9.31%
3-1 @ 5.16%
3-0 @ 5.03%
3-2 @ 2.65%
4-1 @ 2.09%
4-0 @ 2.04%
4-2 @ 1.07%
Other @ 2.84%
Total : 51.22%
1-1 @ 11.78%
0-0 @ 7.09%
2-2 @ 4.9%
3-3 @ 0.91%
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 24.77%
0-1 @ 7.27%
1-2 @ 6.05%
0-2 @ 3.73%
1-3 @ 2.07%
2-3 @ 1.68%
0-3 @ 1.28%
Other @ 1.92%
Total : 23.99%