AFC Champions League | Quarter-Finals
Sep 30, 2020 at 6.45pm UK
Azadi Stadium

Persepolis
2 - 0
Pakhtakor

Alekasir (49'), Ismailov (66' og.)
FT(HT: 0-0)

Masharipov (15')
Coverage of the AFC Champions League Quarter-Finals clash between Persepolis and Pakhtakor Tashkent.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pakhtakor Tashkent win with a probability of 43.67%. A win for Persepolis had a probability of 29.08% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Pakhtakor Tashkent win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.69%) and 0-2 (8.27%). The likeliest Persepolis win was 1-0 (9.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.85%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5% likelihood.

Result
PersepolisDrawPakhtakor Tashkent
29.08%27.25%43.67%
Both teams to score 48.21%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.11%56.89%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.19%77.81%
Persepolis Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.02%34.98%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.28%71.72%
Pakhtakor Tashkent Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.14%25.86%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.17%60.83%
Score Analysis
    Persepolis 29.08%
    Pakhtakor Tashkent 43.67%
    Draw 27.25%
PersepolisDrawPakhtakor Tashkent
1-0 @ 9.5%
2-1 @ 6.75%
2-0 @ 4.99%
3-1 @ 2.36%
3-0 @ 1.75%
3-2 @ 1.6%
Other @ 2.13%
Total : 29.08%
1-1 @ 12.85%
0-0 @ 9.04%
2-2 @ 4.57%
Other @ 0.79%
Total : 27.25%
0-1 @ 12.23%
1-2 @ 8.69%
0-2 @ 8.27%
1-3 @ 3.92%
0-3 @ 3.73%
2-3 @ 2.06%
1-4 @ 1.33%
0-4 @ 1.26%
Other @ 2.18%
Total : 43.67%