AFC Champions League | Group Stage
Sep 20, 2023 at 1pm UK
Jalan Besar Stadium

Lion City
1 - 2
Bangkok Utd

Lopes (25')
Pires (32'), Syahin (78')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Everton (51'), Puangjan (62')
Eid (25'), Notchaiya (70'), Anan (83')
Coverage of the AFC Champions League Group Stage clash between Lion City Sailors and Bangkok United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lion City Sailors

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Last Game: Spurs 5-1 Lion City
Wednesday, July 26 at 12.30pm in Club Friendlies 1
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Bangkok United

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Last Game: Bangkok Utd 0-1 Ha Noi
Tuesday, February 12 at 12pm in AFC Champions League
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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bangkok United win with a probability of 44.84%. A win for Lion City Sailors had a probability of 32.49% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bangkok United win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.5%) and 0-2 (5.88%). The likeliest Lion City Sailors win was 2-1 (7.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.85%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Bangkok United in this match.

Result
Lion City SailorsDrawBangkok United
32.49% (-0.673 -0.67)22.67% (0.118 0.12)44.84% (0.558 0.56)
Both teams to score 65.3% (-0.736 -0.74)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.62% (-0.845 -0.84)35.38% (0.849 0.85)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
42.58% (-0.945 -0.95)57.41% (0.948 0.95)
Lion City Sailors Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.05% (-0.76299999999999 -0.76)21.95% (0.767 0.77)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.77% (-1.171 -1.17)55.23% (1.176 1.18)
Bangkok United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.66% (-0.12100000000001 -0.12)16.34% (0.124 0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.06% (-0.22 -0.22)45.94% (0.224 0.22)
Score Analysis
    Lion City Sailors 32.49%
    Bangkok United 44.84%
    Draw 22.67%
Lion City SailorsDrawBangkok United
2-1 @ 7.47% (-0.056 -0.06)
1-0 @ 5.44% (0.107 0.11)
2-0 @ 4.12% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-1 @ 3.78% (-0.118 -0.12)
3-2 @ 3.42% (-0.121 -0.12)
3-0 @ 2.09% (-0.055 -0.06)
4-1 @ 1.43% (-0.079 -0.08)
4-2 @ 1.3% (-0.077 -0.08)
Other @ 3.45%
Total : 32.49%
1-1 @ 9.85% (0.154 0.15)
2-2 @ 6.77% (-0.077999999999999 -0.08)
0-0 @ 3.59% (0.152 0.15)
3-3 @ 2.07% (-0.082 -0.08)
Other @ 0.4%
Total : 22.67%
1-2 @ 8.92% (0.103 0.1)
0-1 @ 6.5% (0.248 0.25)
0-2 @ 5.88% (0.201 0.2)
1-3 @ 5.39% (0.04 0.04)
2-3 @ 4.09% (-0.065 -0.06)
0-3 @ 3.55% (0.107 0.11)
1-4 @ 2.44% (0.008 0.01)
2-4 @ 1.85% (-0.037 -0.04)
0-4 @ 1.61% (0.042 0.04)
3-4 @ 0.94% (-0.041 -0.04)
Other @ 3.67%
Total : 44.84%

How you voted: Lion City vs Bangkok Utd

Lion City Sailors
30.0%
Draw
10.0%
Bangkok United
60.0%
10