Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle Jets win with a probability of 50.62%. A win for Central Coast Mariners had a probability of 25.22% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle Jets win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.62%) and 0-2 (8.63%). The likeliest Central Coast Mariners win was 1-0 (6.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.43%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Central Coast Mariners | Draw | Newcastle Jets |
| 25.22% | 24.16% | 50.62% |
| Both teams to score 54.72% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53% | 47% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.75% | 69.25% |
| Central Coast Mariners Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.21% | 32.79% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.65% | 69.35% |
| Newcastle Jets Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.41% | 18.59% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.13% | 49.87% |
| Score Analysis |
| Central Coast Mariners | Draw | Newcastle Jets |
| 1-0 @ 6.8% 2-1 @ 6.38% 2-0 @ 3.79% 3-1 @ 2.37% 3-2 @ 1.99% 3-0 @ 1.41% Other @ 2.48% Total : 25.22% | 1-1 @ 11.43% 0-0 @ 6.1% 2-2 @ 5.37% 3-3 @ 1.12% Other @ 0.14% Total : 24.15% | 0-1 @ 10.25% 1-2 @ 9.62% 0-2 @ 8.63% 1-3 @ 5.4% 0-3 @ 4.84% 2-3 @ 3.01% 1-4 @ 2.27% 0-4 @ 2.04% 2-4 @ 1.27% Other @ 3.31% Total : 50.62% |