Schalke
1 - 1
Erzgebirge Aue

Drexler (32')
Drexler (35')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Hartel (86')
Messeguem (45'), Nazarov (51')

Coverage of the 2.Bundesliga clash between Schalke 04 and Erzgebirge Aue.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Schalke 04 win with a probability of 49.1%. A draw had a probability of 27% and a win for Erzgebirge Aue had a probability of 23.91%.

The most likely scoreline for a Schalke 04 win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.88%) and 2-1 (8.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.55%), while for a Erzgebirge Aue win it was 0-1 (8.83%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood.

Result
Schalke 04	Draw	Erzgebirge Aue
49.1%	26.99%	23.91%

Both teams to score 45.13%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

41.06%

58.94%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.58%

79.42%

Schalke 04 Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.87%

24.13%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.57%

58.43%

Erzgebirge Aue Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.47%

40.52%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.87%

77.13%

Score Analysis

Schalke 04 49.1%

Erzgebirge Aue 23.91%

Draw 26.98%

Schalke 04	Draw	Erzgebirge Aue
1-0 @ 13.9% 2-0 @ 9.88% 2-1 @ 8.93% 3-0 @ 4.68% 3-1 @ 4.23% 3-2 @ 1.91% 4-0 @ 1.67% 4-1 @ 1.5% Other @ 2.4% Total : 49.1%	1-1 @ 12.55% 0-0 @ 9.78% 2-2 @ 4.03% Other @ 0.62% Total : 26.98%	0-1 @ 8.83% 1-2 @ 5.67% 0-2 @ 3.99% 1-3 @ 1.71% 2-3 @ 1.21% 0-3 @ 1.2% Other @ 1.29% Total : 23.91%