Jahn
3 - 2
Erzgebirge Aue

Beste (7'), Besuschkow (11'), Albers (90')
Gimber (28'), Beste (88')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Kuhn (52'), Bussmann (87')
Nazarov (39'), Fandrich (64'), Messeguem (90+2'), Barylla (90+2')

Coverage of the 2.Bundesliga clash between Jahn Regensburg and Erzgebirge Aue.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jahn Regensburg win with a probability of 57.39%. A draw had a probability of 23.8% and a win for Erzgebirge Aue had a probability of 18.79%.

The most likely scoreline for a Jahn Regensburg win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.15%) and 2-1 (9.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.26%), while for a Erzgebirge Aue win it was 0-1 (6.6%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Jahn Regensburg would win this match.

Result
Jahn Regensburg	Draw	Erzgebirge Aue
57.39%	23.81%	18.79%

Both teams to score 47.33%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.42%

52.57%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.77%

74.23%

Jahn Regensburg Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.88%

18.12%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.93%

49.07%

Erzgebirge Aue Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

57.8%

42.2%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.39%

78.6%

Score Analysis

Jahn Regensburg 57.39%

Erzgebirge Aue 18.79%

Draw 23.81%

Jahn Regensburg	Draw	Erzgebirge Aue
1-0 @ 13.06% 2-0 @ 11.15% 2-1 @ 9.63% 3-0 @ 6.35% 3-1 @ 5.48% 4-0 @ 2.71% 3-2 @ 2.36% 4-1 @ 2.34% 4-2 @ 1.01% 5-0 @ 0.93% Other @ 2.37% Total : 57.39%	1-1 @ 11.26% 0-0 @ 7.65% 2-2 @ 4.15% Other @ 0.75% Total : 23.81%	0-1 @ 6.6% 1-2 @ 4.86% 0-2 @ 2.85% 1-3 @ 1.4% 2-3 @ 1.19% Other @ 1.89% Total : 18.79%