Erzgebirge Aue
0 - 1
Dusseldorf

Riese (54'), Gonther (84')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Hennings (29' pen.)
Sobottka (11'), Narey (45+2')

Coverage of the 2.Bundesliga clash between Erzgebirge Aue and Fortuna Dusseldorf.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fortuna Dusseldorf win with a probability of 41.13%. A win for Erzgebirge Aue had a probability of 34.54% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fortuna Dusseldorf win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.96%) and 0-2 (6.22%). The likeliest Erzgebirge Aue win was 2-1 (7.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.25%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fortuna Dusseldorf would win this match.

Result
Erzgebirge Aue	Draw	Fortuna Dusseldorf
34.54%	24.33%	41.13%

Both teams to score 59.85%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.19%

42.8%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.79%

65.21%

Erzgebirge Aue Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.69%

24.3%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.32%

58.68%

Fortuna Dusseldorf Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.07%

20.93%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.33%

53.67%

Score Analysis

Erzgebirge Aue 34.54%

Fortuna Dusseldorf 41.13%

Draw 24.32%

Erzgebirge Aue	Draw	Fortuna Dusseldorf
2-1 @ 7.96% 1-0 @ 7.2% 2-0 @ 5.09% 3-1 @ 3.75% 3-2 @ 2.94% 3-0 @ 2.4% 4-1 @ 1.33% 4-2 @ 1.04% Other @ 2.85% Total : 34.54%	1-1 @ 11.25% 2-2 @ 6.22% 0-0 @ 5.09% 3-3 @ 1.53% Other @ 0.23% Total : 24.32%	1-2 @ 8.8% 0-1 @ 7.96% 0-2 @ 6.22% 1-3 @ 4.59% 2-3 @ 3.24% 0-3 @ 3.24% 1-4 @ 1.79% 0-4 @ 1.27% 2-4 @ 1.27% Other @ 2.75% Total : 41.13%