Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 37.41%. A win for Hull City had a probability of 33.58% and a draw had a probability of 29%.

The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.65%) and 0-2 (7.17%). The likeliest Hull City win was 1-0 (11.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.37%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood.