Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Altay win with a probability of 37.66%. A win for Gaziantep had a probability of 35.73% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.

The most likely scoreline for an Altay win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.24%) and 2-0 (6.53%). The likeliest Gaziantep win was 0-1 (9.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.65%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Altay would win this match.