World Cup

World Cup Qualifying - Africa | Group Stage

Mar 25, 2025 at 4pm UK

Stade Regional de Nyamirambo

Rwanda
1 - 1
Lesotho

Kwizera (58')
Kwizera (59')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Fothoane (82')
Mkwanazi (61'), Mkwanazi (61')

Coverage of the World Cup Qualifying - Africa Group Stage clash between Rwanda and Lesotho.

Form, Standings, Stats

Rwanda

All competitions

World Cup Qualifying

Last Game: Rwanda 0-2 Nigeria
Friday, March 21 at 4pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa

Current Group C Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Nigeria	3	3	7
2	Libya	3	3	6
3	Rwanda	3	0	4
4	Equatorial Guinea	3	-6	0

Lesotho

Last Game: South Africa 2-0 Lesotho
Friday, March 21 at 4pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rwanda win with a probability of 64.91%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for Lesotho had a probability of 12.65%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rwanda win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (14.27%) and 2-1 (8.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.11%), while for a Lesotho win it was 0-1 (5.73%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood.

Result
Rwanda	Draw	Lesotho
64.91% ( 0.29)	22.44% ( -0.06)	12.65% ( -0.22)

Both teams to score 38.5% (

-0.38)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

42.72% (

-0.19)

57.27% (

0.19)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.88% (

-0.15)

78.11% (

0.15)

Rwanda Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.86% (

0.03)

17.14% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.62% (

0.06)

47.37% (

-0.06)

Lesotho Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

46.46% (

-0.48)

53.54% (

0.48)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

13.01% (

-0.31)

86.99% (

0.3)

Score Analysis

Rwanda 64.9%

Lesotho 12.65%

Draw 22.44%

Rwanda	Draw	Lesotho
1-0 @ 16.18% ( 0.13) 2-0 @ 14.27% ( 0.13) 2-1 @ 8.92% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 8.39% ( 0.09) 3-1 @ 5.24% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 3.7% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 2.31% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 1.64% ( -0.03) 5-0 @ 1.31% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.95% Total : 64.9%	1-1 @ 10.11% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 9.18% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 2.79% ( -0.06) Other @ 0.37% Total : 22.44%	0-1 @ 5.73% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 3.16% ( -0.07) 0-2 @ 1.79% ( -0.04) Other @ 1.96% Total : 12.65%