World Cup

World Cup Qualifying - Africa | Group Stage

Mar 21, 2025 at 9pm UK

Stade Olympique Alassane Ouattara (Abidjan)

Guinea
0 - 0
Somalia

Abdirisaq Farah (65'), (75'), Mohamud Jama (75')

Coverage of the World Cup Qualifying - Africa Group Stage clash between Guinea and Somalia.

Form, Standings, Stats

Guinea

All competitions

World Cup Qualifying

Last Game: Tanzania 1-0 Guinea
Tuesday, November 19 at 1pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Current Group C Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Senegal	3	7	9
2	Cameroon	3	-1	4
3	Guinea	3	-1	4
4	Gambia	3	-5	0

Somalia

Last Game: Somalia 1-3 Botswana
Monday, June 10 at 2pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Guinea win with a probability of 91.86%. A draw had a probability of 6.3% and a win for Somalia had a probability of 1.82%.

The most likely scoreline for a Guinea win was 3-0 with a probability of 15.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.28%) and 4-0 (12.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (2.94%), while for a Somalia win it was 0-1 (0.87%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood.

Result
Guinea	Draw	Somalia
91.86% ( -0.4)	6.32% ( 0.31)	1.82% ( 0.09)

Both teams to score 30.21% (

-0.31)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

72.61% (

-1.23)

27.39% (

1.23)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

52.02% (

-1.56)

47.97% (

1.56)

Guinea Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

96.64% (

-0.24)

3.36% (

0.24)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

85.25% (

-0.81)

14.74% (

0.81)

Somalia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

31.26% (

-0.24)

68.74% (

0.24)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

5.49% (

-0.09)

94.51% (

0.09)

Score Analysis

Guinea 91.85%

Somalia 1.82%

Draw 6.32%

Guinea	Draw	Somalia
3-0 @ 15.03% ( 0.19) 2-0 @ 13.28% ( 0.44) 4-0 @ 12.76% ( -0.11) 5-0 @ 8.66% ( -0.26) 1-0 @ 7.83% ( 0.42) 3-1 @ 5.64% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 4.98% ( 0.12) 6-0 @ 4.9% ( -0.26) 4-1 @ 4.78% ( -0.09) 5-1 @ 3.25% ( -0.13) 7-0 @ 2.38% ( -0.18) 6-1 @ 1.84% ( -0.12) 3-2 @ 1.06% ( -0.01) 8-0 @ 1.01% ( -0.1) Other @ 4.45% Total : 91.85%	1-1 @ 2.94% ( 0.13) 0-0 @ 2.31% ( 0.17) 2-2 @ 0.93% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.14% Total : 6.32%	Other @ 1.82% Total : 1.82%