Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Guinea win with a probability of 91.86%. A draw had a probability of 6.3% and a win for Somalia had a probability of 1.82%.
The most likely scoreline for a Guinea win was 3-0 with a probability of 15.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.28%) and 4-0 (12.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (2.94%), while for a Somalia win it was 0-1 (0.87%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood.