World Cup Qualifying - Africa
Mar 21, 2025 9.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Stade Olympique Alassane Ouattara (Abidjan)
  • yellowcard Yonis Abdirisaq Farah 65'
  • yellowcard 75'
  • yellowcard Abdirahman Mohamud Jama 75'

Guinea vs Somalia - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Guinea

All competitions
World Cup Qualifying - Africa
Last game
Jun 10, 2024 8.00pm
Guinea 0 - 1 Mozambique

Somalia

All competitions
World Cup Qualifying - Africa
Last game
Jun 10, 2024 2.00pm
Somalia 1 - 3 Botswana

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Guinea win with a probability of 91.86%. A draw had a probability of 6.3% and a win for Somalia had a probability of 1.82%.

The most likely scoreline for a Guinea win was 3-0 with a probability of 15.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.28%) and 4-0 (12.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (2.94%), while for a Somalia win it was 0-1 (0.87%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood.

Result

Guinea 91.86% (-0.41)
Draw 6.32% (+0.32)
Somalia 1.82% (+0.09)

Both Teams to Score: 

30.21% (-0.31)

Goals

Over 2.5 72.61% (-1.23)
Under 2.5 27.39% (+1.23)
Over 3.5 52.02% (-1.56)
Under 3.5 47.97% (+1.56)
Over 4.5 32.62% (-1.49)
Under 4.5 67.38% (+1.49)

Guinea Goals

Over 0.5 96.64% (-0.24)
Under 0.5 3.36% (+0.24)
Over 1.5 85.25% (-0.81)
Under 1.5 14.74% (+0.81)

Somalia Goals

Over 0.5 31.26% (-0.25)
Under 0.5 68.74% (+0.24)
Over 1.5 5.49% (-0.09)
Under 1.5 94.51% (+0.09)

Score analysis

Guinea 91.85%
Draw 6.32%
Somalia 1.82%
Guinea
3-0 @ 15.03% (+0.19)
2-0 @ 13.28% (+0.44)
4-0 @ 12.76% (-0.11)
5-0 @ 8.66% (-0.27)
1-0 @ 7.83% (+0.42)
3-1 @ 5.64% (+0.02)
2-1 @ 4.98% (+0.13)
6-0 @ 4.9% (-0.26)
4-1 @ 4.78% (-0.09)
5-1 @ 3.25% (-0.13)
7-0 @ 2.38% (-0.18)
6-1 @ 1.84% (-0.12)
3-2 @ 1.06% (-0.01)
8-0 @ 1.01% (-0.10)
Other @ 4.45%
Total : 91.85%
Draw
1-1 @ 2.94% (+0.14)
0-0 @ 2.31% (+0.17)
Other @ 1.08%
Total : 6.32%
Somalia
Other @ 1.82%
Total : 1.82%