Africa Cup of Nations

Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying | Group Stage

Nov 19, 2024 at 1pm UK

Benjamin Mkapa National Stadium

Tanzania
1 - 0
Guinea

Msuva (61')
Kapombe (48'), Msuva (62'), Salum (75')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Cisse (53'), Guirassy (68')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying clash between Tanzania and Guinea, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Tanzania

All competitions

Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Last Game: Ethiopia 0-2 Tanzania
Saturday, November 16 at 4pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Current Group F Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Morocco	3	4	7
2	Congo DR	3	0	3
3	Zambia	3	-1	2
4	Tanzania	3	-3	2

Guinea

All competitions

Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Last Game: Guinea 1-0 Congo DR
Saturday, November 16 at 7pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Current Group C Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Senegal	3	7	9
2	Cameroon	3	-1	4
3	Guinea	3	-1	4
4	Gambia	3	-5	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tanzania win with a probability of 35.22%. A win for Guinea had a probability of 33.87% and a draw had a probability of 30.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Tanzania win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (6.94%) and 2-1 (6.83%). The likeliest Guinea win was 0-1 (13.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 0-0 (13.62%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Tanzania in this match.

Result
Tanzania	Draw	Guinea
35.22% ( 0.82)	30.91% ( 0.34)	33.87% ( -1.17)

Both teams to score 39.8% (

-0.88)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

32.15% (

-1.02)

67.85% (

1.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

14.17% (

-0.68)

85.83% (

0.68)

Tanzania Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.56% (

0.01)

36.44% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.77% (

0.01)

73.22% (

-0.01)

Guinea Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.61% (

-1.39)

37.39% (

1.39)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.83% (

-1.39)

74.17% (

1.39)

Score Analysis

Tanzania 35.22%

Guinea 33.87%

Draw 30.91%

Tanzania	Draw	Guinea
1-0 @ 13.75% ( 0.51) 2-0 @ 6.94% ( 0.26) 2-1 @ 6.83% ( 0) 3-0 @ 2.34% ( 0.09) 3-1 @ 2.3% ( 0) 3-2 @ 1.13% ( -0.04) Other @ 1.93% Total : 35.22%	0-0 @ 13.62% ( 0.5) 1-1 @ 13.53% 2-2 @ 3.36% ( -0.13) Other @ 0.4% Total : 30.91%	0-1 @ 13.4% 1-2 @ 6.66% ( -0.25) 0-2 @ 6.59% ( -0.25) 1-3 @ 2.18% ( -0.17) 0-3 @ 2.16% ( -0.17) 2-3 @ 1.1% ( -0.09) Other @ 1.77% Total : 33.87%