World Cup

World Cup Qualifying - Africa | Group Stage

Mar 20, 2025 at 7pm UK

Stade Olympique Alassane Ouattara (Abidjan)

Gambia
3 - 3
Kenya

Barrow (55', 84'), Minteh (61')
Sinyan (5'), Colley (38'), Jarju (90+3')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Olunga (69' pen.), Omar Ali Bajaber (75'), Wilson (90+6')
(67'), Omar Ali Bajaber (67'), Wilson (80')

Coverage of the World Cup Qualifying - Africa Group Stage clash between Gambia and Kenya.

Form, Standings, Stats

Gambia

All competitions

World Cup Qualifying

Last Game: Tunisia 0-1 Gambia
Monday, November 18 at 7pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Current Group C Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Senegal	3	7	9
2	Cameroon	3	-1	4
3	Guinea	3	-1	4
4	Gambia	3	-5	0

Kenya

All competitions

World Cup Qualifying

Last Game: Tanzania 0-2 Kenya
Tuesday, January 7 at 4pm in International Friendlies

Current Group C Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Algeria	3	6	9
2	Senegal	3	4	6
3	Kenya	3	-4	3
4	Tanzania	3	-6	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gambia win with a probability of 38.68%. A win for Kenya had a probability of 33.16% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gambia win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.02%) and 2-0 (7.27%). The likeliest Kenya win was 0-1 (10.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.19%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood.

Result
Gambia	Draw	Kenya
38.68% ( 0)	28.16% ( -0)	33.16% ( -0)

Both teams to score 47.05% (

-0)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

40.95% (

-0)

59.05% (

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.49% (

-0)

79.51% (

Gambia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.37% (

-0)

29.62%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.33% (

-0)

65.66% (

-0)

Kenya Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.86% (

-0)

33.14% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.26% (

-0)

69.74% (

Score Analysis

Gambia 38.68%

Kenya 33.16%

Draw 28.16%

Gambia	Draw	Kenya
1-0 @ 11.94% 2-1 @ 8.02% 2-0 @ 7.27% ( 0) 3-1 @ 3.25% 3-0 @ 2.95% 3-2 @ 1.8% 4-1 @ 0.99% Other @ 2.46% Total : 38.68%	1-1 @ 13.19% 0-0 @ 9.82% 2-2 @ 4.43% Other @ 0.72% Total : 28.16%	0-1 @ 10.84% 1-2 @ 7.28% 0-2 @ 5.99% 1-3 @ 2.68% ( -0) 0-3 @ 2.2% 2-3 @ 1.63% Other @ 2.53% Total : 33.16%