Ecuador vs Germany - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Germany win with a probability of 59.15%. A draw had a probability of 22.85% and a win for Ecuador had a probability of 18.05%.

The most likely scoreline for a Germany win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.84%) and 1-2 (9.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.67%) , while for a Ecuador win it was 1-0 (5.95%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood.