International Friendlies
Jun 7, 2026 9.00pm
Lower.com Field

Ecuador vs Guatemala - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Ecuador

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last game
May 31, 2026 1.00am
Ecuador 2 - 1 Saudi Arabia

Guatemala

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last game
Jun 5, 2026 1.00am
Czech Republic 3 - 1 Guatemala

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Ecuador win with a probability of 50.25%. A draw has a probability of 26.85% and a win for Guatemala has a probability of 22.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ecuador win is 1-0 with a probability of 14.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (10.56%) and 2-1 (8.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (12.15%) , while for a Guatemala win it is 0-1 (8.62%).

Result

Ecuador 50.25% (-0.25)
Draw 26.85% (+0.06)
Guatemala 22.9% (+0.25)

Both Teams to Score: 

42.75% (+0.11)

Goals

Over 1.5 66.07% (+0.05)
Under 1.5 33.93% (-0.05)
Over 2.5 39.6%
Under 2.5 60.4%
Over 3.5 19.55% (-0.06)
Under 3.5 80.45% (+0.05)
Over 4.5 10.2% (-0.08)
Under 4.5 89.8% (+0.07)

Ecuador Goals

Over 1.5 40.77% (-0.19)
Under 1.5 59.23% (+0.19)
Over 2.5 16.82% (-0.15)
Under 2.5 83.18% (+0.15)
Over 3.5 5.52% (-0.08)
Under 3.5 94.48% (+0.08)

Guatemala Goals

Over 0.5 53.63% (+0.31)
Under 0.5 46.37% (-0.31)
Over 1.5 20.24% (+0.17)
Under 1.5 79.76% (-0.16)
Over 2.5 5.78% (+0.05)
Under 2.5 94.22% (-0.05)
Over 3.5 1.36%
Under 3.5 98.64%

Score analysis

Ecuador 50.25%
Draw 26.84%
Guatemala 22.89%
Ecuador
1-0 @ 14.85% (-0.09)
2-0 @ 10.56% (-0.08)
2-1 @ 8.58% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 5.02% (-0.05)
3-1 @ 4.04% (-0.02)
3-2 @ 1.72% (-0.02)
Other @ 5.48% (-0.06)
Total : 50.25%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.15% (+0.08)
0-0 @ 10.44% (-0.04)
2-2 @ 3.69% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.04% (-0.02)
Total : 26.84%
Guatemala
0-1 @ 8.62% (+0.09)
1-2 @ 5.28% (+0.05)
0-2 @ 3.77% (+0.07)
1-3 @ 1.61% (+0.02)
0-3 @ 1.17% (+0.04)
2-3 @ 1.12%
Other @ 1.32% (+0.02)
Total : 22.89%

Head to Head

International Friendlies
Mar 22, 2024 12.30am
2
0
HT : 2 0
FT Estadio de Liga Deportiva Universitaria
  • John Yeboah 8' goal
  • John Yeboah 8' goal
  • Alan Franco 85' yellowcard
  • Alan Franco 85' yellowcard
  • Gonzalo Plata 86' goal
  • Gonzalo Plata 86' goal
  • Gonzalo Plata 87' yellowcard
  • Gonzalo Plata 87' yellowcard
International Friendlies
Sep 12, 2018 2.05am
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT Toyota Park (Bridgeview, Illinois)
  • Alan Franco 54' yellowcard
  • Juan Carlos Paredes 66' yellowcard
  • Fernando Guerrero 68' yellowcard
  • Enner Valencia 82' goal
  • Romario Ibarra 85' goal