/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F21%2F12%2Feculog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F21%2F12%2Fgualog.png)
-
Jordy Caicedo
19'
-
Jackson Porozo
33'
-
Alan Franco
44'
-
Pedro Vite
56'
-
Nilson Angulo
73'
-
Pervis Estupiñán
78'
-
J. Morales
18'
Ecuador vs Guatemala - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ecuador win with a probability of 52.35%. A draw had a probability of 26.15% and a win for Guatemala had a probability of 21.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ecuador win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.82%) and 2-1 (8.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12%) , while for a Guatemala win it was 0-1 (8.06%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.
Result
Ecuador
52.35%
▲
(+2.11)
Draw
26.15%
▼
(-0.71)
Guatemala
21.5%
▼
(-1.40)
Both Teams to Score:
44%
▲
(+1.25)
Goals
Over 1.5
67.75%
▲
(+1.69)
Under 1.5
32.25%
▼
(-1.68)
Over 2.5
41.45%
▲
(+1.86)
Under 2.5
58.55%
▼
(-1.86)
Over 3.5
20.95%
▲
(+1.40)
Under 3.5
79.05%
▼
(-1.41)
Over 4.5
11.19%
▲
(+1.00)
Under 4.5
88.81%
▼
(-0.99)
Ecuador Goals
Over 1.5
43.42%
▲
(+2.65)
Under 1.5
56.58%
▼
(-2.65)
Over 2.5
18.7%
▲
(+1.88)
Under 2.5
81.3%
▼
(-1.89)
Over 3.5
6.43%
▲
(+0.92)
Under 3.5
93.57%
▼
(-0.92)
Guatemala Goals
Over 0.5
53.23%
▼
(-0.41)
Under 0.5
46.77%
▲
(+0.41)
Over 1.5
19.78%
▼
(-0.46)
Under 1.5
80.22%
▲
(+0.46)
Over 2.5
5.47%
▼
(-0.32)
Under 2.5
94.53%
▲
(+0.32)
Over 3.5
1.23%
▼
(-0.14)
Under 3.5
98.77%
▲
(+0.13)
Score analysis
Ecuador
52.36%
Draw
26.16%
Guatemala
21.52%
Ecuador
1-0
@
14.5%
▼
(-0.35)
2-0 @ 10.82% ▲ (+0.26)
2-1 @ 8.95% ▲ (+0.37)
3-0 @ 5.38% ▲ (+0.37)
3-1 @ 4.44% ▲ (+0.41)
3-2 @ 1.89% ▲ (+0.17)
Other @ 6.38% ▲ (+0.90)
Total : 52.36%
2-0 @ 10.82% ▲ (+0.26)
2-1 @ 8.95% ▲ (+0.37)
3-0 @ 5.38% ▲ (+0.37)
3-1 @ 4.44% ▲ (+0.41)
3-2 @ 1.89% ▲ (+0.17)
Other @ 6.38% ▲ (+0.90)
Total : 52.36%
Draw
1-1
@
12%
▼
(-0.16)
0-0 @ 9.73% ▼ (-0.71)
2-2 @ 3.82% ▲ (+0.13)
Other @ 0.05% ▲ (+0.02)
Total : 26.16%
0-0 @ 9.73% ▼ (-0.71)
2-2 @ 3.82% ▲ (+0.13)
Other @ 0.05% ▲ (+0.02)
Total : 26.16%
Guatemala
0-1
@
8.06%
▼
(-0.56)
1-2 @ 5.15% ▼ (-0.13)
0-2 @ 3.45% ▼ (-0.32)
1-3 @ 1.52% ▼ (-0.10)
2-3 @ 1.13% ▲ (+0.01)
0-3 @ 1.03% ▼ (-0.14)
Other @ 1.18% ▼ (-0.15)
Total : 21.52%
1-2 @ 5.15% ▼ (-0.13)
0-2 @ 3.45% ▼ (-0.32)
1-3 @ 1.52% ▼ (-0.10)
2-3 @ 1.13% ▲ (+0.01)
0-3 @ 1.03% ▼ (-0.14)
Other @ 1.18% ▼ (-0.15)
Total : 21.52%