World Cup Gameweek 2
Jun 21, 2026 1.00am
Kansas City Stadium

Ecuador vs Curacao - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Ecuador

All competitions
World Cup
Last game
Jun 15, 2026 12.00am
Ivory Coast 1 - 0 Ecuador

Curacao

All competitions
World Cup
Last game
Jun 14, 2026 6.00pm
Germany 7 - 1 Curacao

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Ecuador win with a probability of 49.3%. A draw has a probability of 25.95% and a win for Curacao has a probability of 24.75%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ecuador win is 1-0 with a probability of 12.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (9.59%) and 2-1 (8.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (11.91%) , while for a Curacao win it is 0-1 (8%).

Result

Ecuador 49.3%
Draw 25.95%
Curacao 24.75%

Both Teams to Score: 

47.85% (-0.11)

Goals

Over 1.5 70.35% (-0.11)
Under 1.5 29.65% (+0.11)
Over 2.5 44.95% (-0.10)
Under 2.5 55.05% (+0.10)
Over 3.5 24% (-0.11)
Under 3.5 75.95% (+0.05)
Over 4.5 13.08% (-0.08)
Under 4.5 86.92% (+0.08)

Ecuador Goals

Over 1.5 43.23% (-0.08)
Under 1.5 56.77% (+0.08)
Over 2.5 18.72% (-0.08)
Under 2.5 81.28% (+0.08)
Over 3.5 6.5% (-0.05)
Under 3.5 93.5% (+0.05)

Curacao Goals

Over 0.5 57.59% (-0.10)
Under 0.5 42.41% (+0.10)
Over 1.5 24.28% (-0.05)
Under 1.5 75.72% (+0.05)
Over 2.5 7.84% (-0.01)
Under 2.5 92.16% (+0.01)
Over 3.5 2.12%
Under 3.5 97.88%

Score analysis

Ecuador 49.31%
Draw 25.95%
Curacao 24.75%
Ecuador
1-0 @ 12.93% (+0.04)
2-0 @ 9.59% (+0.04)
2-1 @ 8.95% (-0.02)
3-0 @ 4.76% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 4.45% (-0.02)
3-2 @ 2.22% (-0.03)
Other @ 6.41% (-0.05)
Total : 49.31%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.91% (-0.04)
0-0 @ 8.73% (+0.07)
2-2 @ 4.43% (-0.03)
Other @ 0.09%
Total : 25.95%
Curacao
0-1 @ 8% (+0.02)
1-2 @ 5.89%
0-2 @ 3.9%
1-3 @ 2.03% (-0.02)
2-3 @ 1.54% (-0.02)
0-3 @ 1.36% (+0.02)
Other @ 2.03%
Total : 24.75%