Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Ivory Coast win with a probability of 41.85%. A win for Ecuador has a probability of 30.55% and a draw has a probability of 27.65%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ivory Coast win is 1-0 with a probability of 12.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.41%) and 2-0 (7.89%). The likeliest Ecuador win is 0-1 (10.02%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.97%).