World Cup Gameweek 1
Jun 15, 2026 12.00am
Philadelphia Stadium

Ivory Coast vs Ecuador - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Ivory Coast

All competitions

Ecuador

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Ivory Coast win with a probability of 41.85%. A win for Ecuador has a probability of 30.55% and a draw has a probability of 27.65%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ivory Coast win is 1-0 with a probability of 12.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.41%) and 2-0 (7.89%). The likeliest Ecuador win is 0-1 (10.02%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.97%).

Result

Ivory Coast 41.85%
Draw 27.65%
Ecuador 30.55% (+0.06)

Both Teams to Score: 

47.8% (+0.25)

Goals

Over 1.5 68.53% (+0.27)
Under 1.5 31.47% (-0.27)
Over 2.5 42.3% (+0.25)
Under 2.5 57.65% (-0.31)
Over 3.5 21.7% (+0.31)
Under 3.5 78.3% (-0.30)
Over 4.5 11.02% (+0.19)
Under 4.5 88.98% (-0.19)

Ivory Coast Goals

Over 1.5 36.66% (+0.20)
Under 1.5 63.34% (-0.20)
Over 2.5 14.22% (+0.15)
Under 2.5 85.78% (-0.15)
Over 3.5 4.43% (+0.09)
Under 3.5 95.57% (-0.09)

Ecuador Goals

Over 0.5 62.89% (+0.18)
Under 0.5 37.11% (-0.18)
Over 1.5 27.8% (+0.18)
Under 1.5 72.2% (-0.18)
Over 2.5 9.03% (+0.09)
Under 2.5 90.97% (-0.10)
Over 3.5 2.35% (+0.06)
Under 3.5 97.65% (-0.05)

Score analysis

Ivory Coast 41.86%
Draw 27.66%
Ecuador 30.54%
Ivory Coast
1-0 @ 12.12% (-0.10)
2-1 @ 8.41%
2-0 @ 7.89% (-0.02)
3-1 @ 3.69% (+0.03)
3-0 @ 3.41% (-0.03)
3-2 @ 1.98% (+0.04)
Other @ 4.36% (+0.08)
Total : 41.86%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.97% (+0.03)
0-0 @ 9.39% (-0.09)
2-2 @ 4.52% (+0.05)
Other @ 0.07% (+0.02)
Total : 27.66%
Ecuador
0-1 @ 10.02% (-0.06)
1-2 @ 6.91%
0-2 @ 5.36% (+0.02)
1-3 @ 2.47% (+0.03)
0-3 @ 1.88% (-0.03)
2-3 @ 1.62% (+0.03)
Other @ 2.28% (+0.04)
Total : 30.54%