Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Curacao win with a probability of 53.35%. A win for China had a probability of 26.09% and a draw had a probability of 20.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Curacao win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.19%) and 1-2 (7.84%). The likeliest China win was 1-0 (6.92%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.73%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood.