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World Cup
China national football team
World Cup Qualifying - Asia | Third Round
Mar 25, 2025 at 11am UK
Guangxi Sports Center
Australia national football team

China
vs.
Australia

FT

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's World Cup Qualifying - Asia clash between China and Australia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

China

All competitions
Last Game: Saudi Arabia 1-0 China
Thursday, March 20 at 6.15pm in World Cup Qualifying - Asia
Next Game: Indonesia vs. China
Thursday, June 5 at 1am in World Cup Qualifying - Asia

Australia

All competitions
Last Game: Australia 5-1 Indonesia
Thursday, March 20 at 9.10am in World Cup Qualifying - Asia
Next Game: Australia vs. Japan
Thursday, June 5 at 1am in World Cup Qualifying - Asia

We said: China 1-3 Australia

 Australia may have drawn their last three away World Cup qualifiers, but they would have taken plenty of confidence from Thursday's dominant home win over Indonesia, and we think that they will build upon that result by claiming a relatively comfortable victory in Tuesday's away fixture against China. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Australia win with a probability of 58.68%. A draw has a probability of 23.3% and a win for China has a probability of 18.03%.

The most likely scoreline for an Australia win is 0-1 with a probability of 12.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-2 (11.31%) and 1-2 (9.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (11.03%), while for a China win it is 1-0 (6.28%).

Result
ChinaDrawAustralia
18.03% (0.0040000000000013 0) 23.28% (0.0079999999999991 0.01) 58.68% (-0.012 -0.01)
Both teams to score 47.59% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.46% (-0.028999999999996 -0.03)51.54% (0.026999999999994 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.66% (-0.025000000000002 -0.03)73.34% (0.025999999999996 0.03)
China Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.52% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01)42.47% (0.012 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.15% (-0.013000000000002 -0.01)78.84% (0.012 0.01)
Australia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.72% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01)17.28% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.39% (-0.025999999999996 -0.03)47.61% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
Score Analysis
    China 18.03%
    Australia 58.68%
    Draw 23.28%
ChinaDrawAustralia
1-0 @ 6.28% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
2-1 @ 4.72% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-0 @ 2.69% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-1 @ 1.35% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-2 @ 1.18% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 1.8%
Total : 18.03%
1-1 @ 11.03% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 7.34% (0.008 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.15% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
Other @ 0.76%
Total : 23.28%
0-1 @ 12.88% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
0-2 @ 11.31% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-2 @ 9.69% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-3 @ 6.62% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-3 @ 5.67% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-4 @ 2.91% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-4 @ 2.49% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 2.43% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-4 @ 1.07% (-0.002 -0)
0-5 @ 1.02% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.61%
Total : 58.68%

How you voted: China vs Australia

China
16.1%
Draw
14.3%
Australia
69.6%
56
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