World Cup

World Cup Qualifying - Asia | Third Round

Mar 25, 2025 at 11am UK

Guangxi Sports Center

China
0 - 2
Australia

Wenneng (13')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Irvine (16'), Velupillay (29')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's World Cup Qualifying - Asia clash between China and Australia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

China

All competitions

Last Game: Saudi Arabia 1-0 China
Thursday, March 20 at 6.15pm in World Cup Qualifying - Asia

Next Game: Indonesia vs. China
Thursday, June 5 at 1am in World Cup Qualifying - Asia

Current Third Round Group C Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Japan	0	0	0
2	Australia	0	0	0
3	Saudi Arabia	0	0	0
4	China	0	0	0
5	Bahrain	0	0	0
6	Indonesia	0	0	0

Australia

All competitions

Last Game: Australia 5-1 Indonesia
Thursday, March 20 at 9.10am in World Cup Qualifying - Asia

Next Game: Australia vs. Japan
Thursday, June 5 at 1am in World Cup Qualifying - Asia

Current Third Round Group C Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Japan	0	0	0
2	Australia	0	0	0
3	Saudi Arabia	0	0	0
4	China	0	0	0
5	Bahrain	0	0	0
6	Indonesia	0	0	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Australia win with a probability of 58.68%. A draw has a probability of 23.3% and a win for China has a probability of 18.03%.

The most likely scoreline for an Australia win is 0-1 with a probability of 12.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-2 (11.31%) and 1-2 (9.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (11.03%), while for a China win it is 1-0 (6.28%).

Result
China	Draw	Australia
18.03% ( 0)	23.28% ( 0.01)	58.68% ( -0.01)

Both teams to score 47.59% (

-0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.46% (

-0.03)

51.54% (

0.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.66% (

-0.03)

73.34% (

0.03)

China Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

57.52% (

-0.01)

42.47% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.15% (

-0.01)

78.84% (

0.01)

Australia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.72% (

-0.01)

17.28% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.39% (

-0.03)

47.61% (

0.02)

Score Analysis

China 18.03%

Australia 58.68%

Draw 23.28%

China	Draw	Australia
1-0 @ 6.28% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 4.72% ( 0) 2-0 @ 2.69% ( 0) 3-1 @ 1.35% ( -0) 3-2 @ 1.18% ( -0) Other @ 1.8% Total : 18.03%	1-1 @ 11.03% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 7.34% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 4.15% ( -0) Other @ 0.76% Total : 23.28%	0-1 @ 12.88% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 11.31% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 9.69% ( -0) 0-3 @ 6.62% ( -0) 1-3 @ 5.67% ( -0) 0-4 @ 2.91% ( -0) 1-4 @ 2.49% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.43% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.07% ( -0) 0-5 @ 1.02% ( -0) Other @ 2.61% Total : 58.68%