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Australia national football team
World Cup Qualifying - Asia | Third Round
Mar 20, 2025 at 9.10am UK
 
Indonesia national football team

Australia
5 - 1
Indonesia

Boyle (18'), Velupillay (20'), Irvine (34', 90'), Miller (61')
FT(HT: 3-0)
ter Haar Romeny (78')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's World Cup Qualifying - Asia clash between Australia and Indonesia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Australia

All competitions
Last Game: Australia 0-0 Saudi Arabia
Thursday, November 14 at 12am in World Cup Qualifying - Asia
Next Game: China vs. Australia
Tuesday, March 25 at 12am in World Cup Qualifying - Asia

Indonesia

All competitions
Last Game: Indonesia 0-4 Japan
Friday, November 15 at 12pm in World Cup Qualifying - Asia
Next Game: Indonesia vs. Bahrain
Tuesday, March 25 at 12am in World Cup Qualifying - Asia

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Australia win with a probability of 72.63%. A draw had a probability of 17% and a win for Indonesia had a probability of 10.34%.

The most likely scoreline for an Australia win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.84%) and 3-0 (9.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.09%), while for a Indonesia win it was 0-1 (3.5%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood.

Result
AustraliaDrawIndonesia
72.63% (-0.193 -0.19)17.02% (0.029 0.03)10.34% (0.161 0.16)
Both teams to score 47.37% (0.523 0.52)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.01% (0.356 0.36)40.98% (-0.36000000000001 -0.36)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.63% (0.365 0.37)63.37% (-0.367 -0.37)
Australia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.11% (0.044000000000011 0.04)9.88% (-0.047000000000001 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
67.24% (0.105 0.11)32.75% (-0.108 -0.11)
Indonesia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
52.57% (0.554 0.55)47.43% (-0.556 -0.56)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.19% (0.409 0.41)82.81% (-0.41200000000001 -0.41)
Score Analysis
    Australia 72.62%
    Indonesia 10.34%
    Draw 17.02%
AustraliaDrawIndonesia
2-0 @ 12.55% (-0.15 -0.15)
1-0 @ 10.84% (-0.16 -0.16)
3-0 @ 9.68% (-0.1 -0.1)
2-1 @ 9.36% (0.032 0.03)
3-1 @ 7.22% (0.04 0.04)
4-0 @ 5.6% (-0.047000000000001 -0.05)
4-1 @ 4.18% (0.032 0.03)
3-2 @ 2.69% (0.056 0.06)
5-0 @ 2.59% (-0.016 -0.02)
5-1 @ 1.94% (0.019 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.56% (0.036 0.04)
6-0 @ 1% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 3.4%
Total : 72.62%
1-1 @ 8.09% (0.011000000000001 0.01)
0-0 @ 4.69% (-0.077 -0.08)
2-2 @ 3.49% (0.067 0.07)
Other @ 0.75%
Total : 17.02%
0-1 @ 3.5% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-2 @ 3.02% (0.051 0.05)
0-2 @ 1.3% (0.02 0.02)
Other @ 2.52%
Total : 10.34%

How you voted: Australia vs Indonesia

Australia
57.8%
Draw
10.0%
Indonesia
32.2%
90
Head to Head
Sep 10, 2024 1pm
Third Round
Indonesia
0-0
Australia
Hubner (57')
Goodwin (10'), Baccus (44'), Silvera (90+2')
> Preview
Jan 28, 2024 11.30am
Round of 16
Australia
4-0
Indonesia
Baggott (12' og.), Boyle (45'), Goodwin (89'), Souttar (90+1')
Fornaroli (15'), Jones (65')

Mangkualam (35'), Walsh (68'), Amat (90'), Struick (90+4')
> Preview