World Cup

World Cup Qualifying - Africa | Group Stage

Mar 23, 2025 at 11pm UK

Congo
P-P
Zambia

Coverage of the World Cup Qualifying - Africa Group Stage clash between Congo and Zambia.

Form, Standings, Stats

Congo

All competitions

World Cup Qualifying

Last Game: Congo 0-1 Uganda
Tuesday, November 19 at 4pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Current Group D Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Congo	3	3	7
2	Angola	3	1	5
3	Burkina Faso	3	-2	2
4	Cameroon	3	-2	1

Zambia

All competitions

World Cup Qualifying

Last Game: Sierra Leone 0-2 Zambia
Tuesday, November 19 at 4pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Current Group F Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Morocco	3	4	7
2	Congo DR	3	0	3
3	Zambia	3	-1	2
4	Tanzania	3	-3	2

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zambia win with a probability of 49.92%. A draw had a probability of 28.2% and a win for Congo had a probability of 21.85%.

The most likely scoreline for a Zambia win was 0-1 with a probability of 16.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.75%) and 1-2 (8.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.55%), while for a Congo win it was 1-0 (9.37%).

Result
Congo	Draw	Zambia
21.85% ( 0.41)	28.23% ( 0.68)	49.92% ( -1.1)

Both teams to score 40.05% (

-1.15)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

35.63% (

-1.73)

64.37% (

1.73)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

16.55% (

-1.24)

83.45% (

1.24)

Congo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

54.26% (

-0.58)

45.73% (

0.58)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

18.49% (

-0.46)

81.51% (

0.46)

Zambia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.81% (

-1.31)

26.19% (

1.31)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.72% (

-1.79)

61.28% (

1.79)

Score Analysis

Congo 21.85%

Zambia 49.91%

Draw 28.22%

Congo	Draw	Zambia
1-0 @ 9.37% ( 0.44) 2-1 @ 4.91% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 3.67% ( 0.11) 3-1 @ 1.28% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 0.96% ( 0.02) Other @ 1.66% Total : 21.85%	1-1 @ 12.55% ( 0.13) 0-0 @ 11.97% ( 0.74) 2-2 @ 3.29% ( -0.15) Other @ 0.41% Total : 28.22%	0-1 @ 16.04% ( 0.42) 0-2 @ 10.75% ( -0.11) 1-2 @ 8.41% ( -0.23) 0-3 @ 4.8% ( -0.24) 1-3 @ 3.76% ( -0.25) 0-4 @ 1.61% ( -0.14) 2-3 @ 1.47% ( -0.12) 1-4 @ 1.26% ( -0.14) Other @ 1.82% Total : 49.91%