Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zambia win with a probability of 49.92%. A draw had a probability of 28.2% and a win for Congo had a probability of 21.85%.
The most likely scoreline for a Zambia win was 0-1 with a probability of 16.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.75%) and 1-2 (8.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.55%), while for a Congo win it was 1-0 (9.37%).