World Cup Qualifying - Africa
Mar 23, 2025 11.00pm

Congo vs Zambia - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Congo

All competitions
World Cup Qualifying - Africa
Last game
Mar 16, 2025 11.00pm
Tanzania 0 - 0 Congo

Zambia

All competitions
World Cup Qualifying - Africa
Last game
Mar 16, 2025 11.00pm
Zambia 0 - 0 Eritrea

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zambia win with a probability of 49.92%. A draw had a probability of 28.2% and a win for Congo had a probability of 21.85%.

The most likely scoreline for a Zambia win was 0-1 with a probability of 16.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.75%) and 1-2 (8.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.55%), while for a Congo win it was 1-0 (9.37%).

Result

Congo 21.85% (+0.42)
Draw 28.23% (+0.69)
Zambia 49.92% (-1.10)

Both Teams to Score: 

40.05% (-1.15)

Goals

Over 2.5 35.63% (-1.73)
Under 2.5 64.37% (+1.73)
Over 3.5 16.55% (-1.24)
Under 3.5 83.45% (+1.25)
Over 4.5 6.43% (-0.67)
Under 4.5 93.57% (+0.68)

Congo Goals

Over 0.5 54.26% (-0.59)
Under 0.5 45.73% (+0.59)
Over 1.5 18.49% (-0.46)
Under 1.5 81.51% (+0.46)

Zambia Goals

Over 0.5 73.81% (-1.31)
Under 0.5 26.19% (+1.31)
Over 1.5 38.72% (-1.79)
Under 1.5 61.28% (+1.79)

Score analysis

Congo 21.85%
Draw 28.22%
Zambia 49.91%
Congo
1-0 @ 9.37% (+0.44)
2-1 @ 4.91% (-0.04)
2-0 @ 3.67% (+0.12)
3-1 @ 1.28% (-0.03)
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 21.85%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.55% (+0.14)
0-0 @ 11.97% (+0.75)
2-2 @ 3.29% (-0.15)
Other @ 0.41%
Total : 28.22%
Zambia
0-1 @ 16.04% (+0.42)
0-2 @ 10.75% (-0.11)
1-2 @ 8.41% (-0.24)
0-3 @ 4.8% (-0.24)
1-3 @ 3.76% (-0.26)
0-4 @ 1.61% (-0.15)
2-3 @ 1.47% (-0.13)
1-4 @ 1.26% (-0.14)
Other @ 1.82%
Total : 49.91%

Head to Head

World Cup Qualifying - Africa
Nov 17, 2023 4.00pm
4
2
HT : 2 2
FT Konkola Stadium
  • Patson Daka 5' goal
  • Lameck Banda 43' goal
  • Fashion Sakala 69' goal
  • Patson Daka 90'+2' goal
  • goal Silvere Ganvoula 13'
  • goal Mons Bassouamina 15'
International Friendlies
Mar 25, 2022 1.00pm
3
1
HT : 2 1
FT TBC
  • Enock Mwepu 20' goal
  • Kings Kangwa 24' goal
  • Frankie Musonda 64' goal
  • goal Guy Mbenza 34'