Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tanzania win with a probability of 39.93%. A win for Congo had a probability of 30.28% and a draw had a probability of 29.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tanzania win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.02%) and 2-1 (7.66%). The likeliest Congo win was 0-1 (11.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.39%).