May 31, 2026 10.30pm

3

0

HT : 0 0

FT Estadio Domingo Burgueño Miguel

Maximiliano Noble 56'
Juan Martín Ginzo 69'
Facundo Tealde 69'
Christian Tabó 79'
Facundo Tealde 82'
Gonzalo Larrazábal 90'+5'

Luciano Boggio 8'
Juan Cruz de los Santos 68'
Ignacio Suárez 82'
Sebastián Coates 83'

Deportivo Maldonado vs Nacional - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Deportivo Maldonado

All competitions

D
W
W
W
L
D

Uruguayan Primera Division

D
W
W
W
L
D

Last game

May 24, 2026 7.00pm

Wanderers 1 - 1 Maldonado

Nacional

All competitions

W
W
D
W
W
L

Uruguayan Primera Division

W
W
W
L
L
W

Last game

May 23, 2026 10.30pm

Nacional 1 - 0 Albion

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Deportivo Maldonado win with a probability of 38.68%. A win for Nacional had a probability of 32.78% and a draw had a probability of 28.54%.

The most likely scoreline for a Deportivo Maldonado win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.76%) and 2-0 (6.65%). The likeliest Nacional win was 0-1 (9.27%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.7%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood.

Result

Deportivo Maldonado 38.68%

Draw 28.54%

Nacional 32.78% ▲ (+0.06)

Both Teams to Score:

52.84%

Goals

Over 1.5 71.88% ▲ (+0.04)

Under 1.5 28.12% ▼ (-0.04)

Over 2.5 46.13% ▲ (+0.02)

Under 2.5 53.88%

Over 3.5 24.97% ▼ (-0.06)

Under 3.5 75.03% ▲ (+0.05)

Over 4.5 13.04% ▼ (-0.03)

Under 4.5 86.96% ▲ (+0.02)

First Half Winner

Deportivo Maldonado 28.71%

Draw 44.09%

Nacional 27.2%

Team To Score First

Deportivo Maldonado 45.73%

No Goal 8.32% ▲ (+0.01)

Nacional 45.95% ▼ (-0.01)

Corners

Over 8 49.79% ▼ (-0.03)

Equal 8 12.16% ▲ (+0.01)

Under 8 38.05% ▲ (+0.01)

Over 9 38.15% ▼ (-0.03)

Equal 9 11.64%

Under 9 50.21% ▲ (+0.03)

Over 10.5 27.92% ▼ (-0.02)

Under 10.5 72.08% ▲ (+0.02)

Deportivo Maldonado Goals

Over 1.5 36.96% ▼ (-0.02)

Under 1.5 63.04% ▲ (+0.02)

Over 2.5 13.92% ▼ (-0.02)

Under 2.5 86.08% ▲ (+0.02)

Over 3.5 4.38% ▼ (-0.01)

Under 3.5 95.62% ▲ (+0.02)

Nacional Goals

Over 0.5 67.39% ▲ (+0.05)

Under 0.5 32.61% ▼ (-0.05)

Over 1.5 32.12% ▲ (+0.02)

Under 1.5 67.88% ▼ (-0.03)

Over 2.5 11.79% ▼ (-0.02)

Under 2.5 88.21% ▲ (+0.01)

Over 3.5 3.39% ▼ (-0.01)

Under 3.5 96.61% ▲ (+0.02)

Score analysis

Deportivo Maldonado 38.69%

Draw 28.54%

Nacional 32.79%

Deportivo Maldonado

1-0 @ 10.55% ▲ (+0.02)

2-1 @ 8.76% ▲ (+0.01)

2-0 @ 6.65%

3-1 @ 3.54% ▼ (-0.01)

3-0 @ 2.88% ▲ (+0.01)

3-2 @ 2.08%

Other @ 4.23%

Total : 38.69%

Draw

1-1 @ 13.7% ▲ (+0.01)

0-0 @ 8.32% ▲ (+0.01)

2-2 @ 5.33% ▼ (-0.01)

3-3 @ 1.04% ▼ (-0.02)

Other @ 0.15% ▼ (-0.02)

Total : 28.54%

Nacional

0-1 @ 9.27% ▲ (+0.02)

1-2 @ 7.52% ▲ (+0.02)

0-2 @ 5.4% ▲ (+0.03)

1-3 @ 3.07%

2-3 @ 2.3%

0-3 @ 1.99% ▲ (+0.02)

Other @ 3.24%

Total : 32.79%

Head to Head

Apr 11, 2026 11.00pm

4

2

HT : 2 1

FT Estadio Domingo Burgueño Miguel

Santiago Ramírez 17'
Christian Tabó 41'
Adrian Vila 67'
Elías de León 73'
Guillermo López 73'
Guillermo López 80'
Nicolás Fuica 85'
Lucas Núñez 85'
Maximiliano Noble 90'+7'

Nicolás López 28'
Nicolás López 40'
Nicolás Lodeiro 62'
Juan Cruz de los Santos 68'
Lucas Rodríguez 68'
Maxi Gómez 73'

Nov 16, 2024 10.30pm

5

2

HT : 1 0

FT Estadio Gran Parque Central

Alexis Castro 6'
Nicolas Rodriguez 11'
Nicolas Lopez 65'
Christian Oliva 68'
Mauricio Pereyra 69'
Nicolas Rodriguez 78'
Jeremia Recoba 88'
Nicolas Lopez 90'+1'

Lucas Nunez 23'
Diego Romero 70'
Facundo Tealde 75'
Angel Rodriguez 79'
Sebastian Coates 83' (OG)

May 21, 2024 12.00am

0

2

HT : 0 0

FT Estadio Domingo Burgueno Miguel

Maximiliano Noble 22'
Maximiliano Noble 22'
Hernan Menosse 60'
Hernan Menosse 60'
Diego Romero 86'
Pablo Gonzalez 87'
Diego Romero 87'
Angel Rodriguez 87'
Mauricio Pereyra 88'
Diego Polenta 88'
Maximiliano Cantera 90'+6'

Juan Izquierdo 20'
Juan Izquierdo 20'
Alexis Castro 32'
Alexis Castro 32'
Leandro Lozano 34'
Leandro Lozano 34'
Mauricio Pereyra 49'
Mauricio Pereyra 66'
Gonzalo Carneiro 66'
Diego Zabala 79'
Diego Zabala 79'
Gonzalo Carneiro 85'
Pablo Gonzalez 86'
Diego Polenta 90'+2'
Diego Polenta 90'+3'
Diego Zabala 90'+5'
Gonzalo Carneiro 90'+5' (OG)

Oct 24, 2023 12.15am

1

3

HT : 2 2

FT Estadio Gran Parque Central

Diego Zabala 15'
Diego Zabala 17'
Franco Fagundez 28'
Franco Fagundez 29'
Antonio Galeano 67'

Tomas Fernandez 8'
Tomas Fernandez 9'
Angel Cayetano 33'
Angel Cayetano 34'
Elias de Leon 40'
Elias de Leon Aristegui 42'
Elias de Leon 61'
Elias de Leon 62'
Santiago Cartagena 66'
Agustin Alfaro 82'
Claudio Spinelli 85'

Jun 17, 2023 10.00pm

4

0

HT : 1 0

FT Estadio Gran Parque Central

Ignacio Ramirez 45'+2'
Federico Martinez 56'
Alfonso Trezza 75'
Bruno Damiani 86'

Mar 18, 2023 8.00pm

0

0

HT : 0 0

FT Estadio Domingo BurgueÃ±o Miguel

Form Data

Wanderers 1 - 1 Maldonado

Maldonado 3 - 1 Danubio

Maldonado 2 - 1 Boston River

Cerro 0 - 1 Maldonado

Maldonado 1 - 2 Albion

Danubio 1 - 1 Maldonado

Nacional 1 - 0 Coquimbo

Nacional 1 - 0 Albion

Nacional 0 - 0 Universitario

Torque 1 - 2 Nacional

Nacional 4 - 0 Cerro

Tolima 3 - 0 Nacional