Copa Libertadores Gameweek 5
May 20, 2026 11.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Gran Parque Central
  • Luciano Boggio 11' yellowcard
  • Nicolás López 46' yellowcard
  • P. Núñez 70' yellowcard
  • Gonzalo Carneiro 70' yellowcard
  • Tomás Verón Lupi 84' yellowcard
  • yellowcard 81'
  • yellowcard Edison Flores 81'
  • yellowcard Jorge Murrugarra 81'
  • yellowcard Hugo Ancajima 81'
  • yellowcard Jesús Castillo 87'
  • yellowcard Sekou Gassama 90'+3'

Nacional vs Universitario - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Nacional

All competitions
Copa Libertadores
Last game
May 7, 2026 3.00am
Tolima 3 - 0 Nacional

Universitario

All competitions
Copa Libertadores
Last game
May 8, 2026 1.00am
Coquimbo 2 - 1 Universitario

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nacional win with a probability of 45.08%. A draw had a probability of 27.64% and a win for Universitario had a probability of 27.25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nacional win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.87%) and 2-1 (8.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.16%) , while for a Universitario win it was 0-1 (9.18%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood.

Result

Nacional 45.08% (-0.25)
Draw 27.64% (+0.09)
Universitario 27.25% (+0.13)

Both Teams to Score: 

45.6% (-0.18)

Goals

Over 1.5 67.98% (-0.21)
Under 1.5 32.02% (+0.21)
Over 2.5 41.43% (-0.17)
Under 2.5 58.57% (+0.17)
Over 3.5 20.9% (-0.17)
Under 3.5 79.1% (+0.16)
Over 4.5 10.97% (-0.12)
Under 4.5 89.03% (+0.13)

First Half Winner

Nacional 27.95% (-0.17)
Draw 48.93% (+0.18)
Universitario 23.12% (-0.02)

Team To Score First

Nacional 50.11% (-0.14)
No Goal 9.65% (+0.09)
Universitario 40.24% (+0.06)

Corners

Over 8 47.71% (+0.04)
Equal 8 12.14% (-0.01)
Under 8 40.15% (-0.04)
Over 9 36.28% (+0.06)
Equal 9 11.44%
Under 9 52.29% (-0.04)
Over 10.5 26.38% (+0.06)
Under 10.5 73.62% (-0.05)

Nacional Goals

Over 1.5 38.24% (-0.27)
Under 1.5 61.76% (+0.27)
Over 2.5 15.25% (-0.19)
Under 2.5 84.75% (+0.19)
Over 3.5 5.16% (-0.08)
Under 3.5 94.84% (+0.08)

Universitario Goals

Over 0.5 59.23% (+0.02)
Under 0.5 40.77% (-0.02)
Over 1.5 24.69% (+0.05)
Under 1.5 75.31% (-0.04)
Over 2.5 7.85% (+0.06)
Under 2.5 92.15% (-0.06)
Over 3.5 1.98%
Under 3.5 98.02%

Score analysis

Nacional 45.07%
Draw 27.64%
Universitario 27.26%
Nacional
1-0 @ 13.16% (+0.03)
2-0 @ 8.87% (-0.07)
2-1 @ 8.5% (-0.03)
3-0 @ 3.98% (-0.03)
3-1 @ 3.7% (-0.05)
3-2 @ 1.78% (-0.06)
Other @ 5.08% (-0.09)
Total : 45.07%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.16%
0-0 @ 9.65% (+0.09)
2-2 @ 4.12%
Other @ 0.08% (+0.01)
Total : 27.64%
Universitario
0-1 @ 9.18% (+0.07)
1-2 @ 6.43% (+0.02)
0-2 @ 4.51% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 2.12% (+0.02)
0-3 @ 1.62% (+0.05)
2-3 @ 1.5% (+0.02)
Other @ 1.9% (-0.02)
Total : 27.26%

Head to Head

Copa Libertadores Gameweek 3
Apr 30, 2026 3.00am
4
2
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio Monumental
  • Caín Fara 40' goal
  • Álex Valera 46' goal
  • Jesús Castillo 66' yellowcard
  • Lisandro Alzugaray 69' yellowcard
  • Héctor Fértoli 80' yellowcard
  • José Rivera 80' yellowcard
  • Lisandro Alzugaray 81' goal
  • José Carabalí 90'+1' goal
  • yellowcard Maxi Gómez 14'
  • yellowcard Maximiliano Silvera  63'
  • yellowcard Agustín Dos Santos 63'
  • goal Maximiliano Silvera  71'
  • yellowcard Rodrigo Martínez 83'
  • yellowcard Emiliano Ancheta 83'
  • yellowcard P. Núñez 86'