Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Coquimbo Unido win with a probability of 40.25%. A win for Universitario had a probability of 31.08% and a draw had a probability of 28.67%.
The most likely scoreline for a Coquimbo Unido win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.94%) and 2-0 (7.82%). The likeliest Universitario win was 0-1 (10.71%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.47%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.