Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 1
May 18, 2026 10.30pm
Estadio Domingo Burgueño Miguel

Deportivo Maldonado vs Danubio - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Deportivo Maldonado

All competitions
Uruguayan Primera Division
Last game
May 11, 2026 9.00pm
Maldonado 2 - 1 Boston River

Danubio

All competitions
Uruguayan Primera Division
Last game
May 9, 2026 7.30pm
Danubio 0 - 1 Albion

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Deportivo Maldonado win with a probability of 46.19%. A draw has a probability of 28.94% and a win for Danubio has a probability of 24.92%.

The most likely scoreline for a Deportivo Maldonado win is 1-0 with a probability of 14.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.47%) and 2-0 (9.2%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (13.55%) , while for a Danubio win it is 0-1 (9.5%).

Result

Deportivo Maldonado 46.19% (+1.58)
Draw 28.94% (-0.54)
Danubio 24.92% (-0.98)

Both Teams to Score: 

45.32% (-0.22)

Goals

Over 1.5 65.82% (+0.70)
Under 1.5 34.18% (-0.71)
Over 2.5 39.2% (+0.66)
Under 2.5 60.8% (-0.66)
Over 3.5 18.72% (+0.74)
Under 3.5 81.28% (-0.74)
Over 4.5 9.36% (+0.59)
Under 4.5 90.64% (-0.58)

First Half Winner

Deportivo Maldonado 34.38% (+1.47)
Draw 45.92% (-1.34)
Danubio 19.7% (-0.13)

Team To Score First

Deportivo Maldonado 51.26% (-0.20)
No Goal 10.5% (-0.17)
Danubio 38.24% (+0.36)

Corners

Over 8 47.26% (+2.00)
Equal 8 12.51% (+0.01)
Under 8 40.24% (-2.00)
Over 9 35.53% (+1.79)
Equal 9 11.72% (+0.21)
Under 9 52.74% (-2.00)
Over 10.5 25.46% (+1.48)
Under 10.5 74.54% (-1.47)

Deportivo Maldonado Goals

Over 1.5 38.16% (+1.59)
Under 1.5 61.84% (-1.59)
Over 2.5 14.08% (+1.31)
Under 2.5 85.92% (-1.30)
Over 3.5 4.43% (+0.36)
Under 3.5 95.57% (-0.37)

Danubio Goals

Over 0.5 58.09% (-0.44)
Under 0.5 41.91% (+0.44)
Over 1.5 21.97% (-0.68)
Under 1.5 78.03% (+0.68)
Over 2.5 6.5% (-0.60)
Under 2.5 93.5% (+0.60)
Over 3.5 1.46% (-0.13)
Under 3.5 98.54% (+0.13)

Score analysis

Deportivo Maldonado 46.19%
Draw 28.94%
Danubio 24.93%
Deportivo Maldonado
1-0 @ 14.24% (-0.32)
2-1 @ 9.47% (+0.14)
2-0 @ 9.2% (+0.31)
3-0 @ 3.75% (+0.21)
3-1 @ 3.6% (+0.42)
3-2 @ 1.65% (+0.39)
Other @ 4.28% (+0.44)
Total : 46.19%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.55% (-0.13)
0-0 @ 10.5% (-0.17)
2-2 @ 4.09% (-0.12)
Other @ 0.15% (-0.08)
Total : 28.94%
Danubio
0-1 @ 9.5% (-0.19)
1-2 @ 5.88% (-0.22)
0-2 @ 3.85% (-0.13)
1-3 @ 1.68% (-0.17)
0-3 @ 1.39% (-0.21)
2-3 @ 1.32% (-0.05)
Other @ 1.31% (-0.06)
Total : 24.93%

Head to Head

Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 12
Apr 19, 2026 8.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio Jardines del Hipódromo
  • Sebastián Fernández 14' goal
  • Martín Jourdan 55' yellowcard
  • Nicolas Azambuja 55' yellowcard
  • Enzo Cabrera 59' yellowcard
  • Juan Millán 71' yellowcard
  • Enrique Femia 71' yellowcard
  • goal Christian Tabó 51'
  • yellowcard Facundo Tealde   67'
  • yellowcard Nicolás Fuica 67'
  • yellowcard Sebastián González 71'
  • yellowcard Guillermo López 80'
  • yellowcard Adrian Vila 80'
Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 15
Dec 2, 2024 10.00pm
3
1
HT : 2 1
FT Estadio Domingo Burgueno Miguel
  • Juan Martin Ginzo 14' goal
  • Renato Cesar 32' yellowcard
  • Bruno Nahuel Centeno Fernandez 44' goal
  • Maximiliano Noble 61' goal
  • yellowcard Emiliano Ancheta 29'
  • goal Gabriel Leyes 45'+1'
Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 15
Jun 3, 2024 7.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Jardines del Hipodromo
  • Facundo Silvestre 10' yellowcard
  • Mateo Peralta 45'+1' yellowcard
  • Emiliano Ancheta 66' yellowcard
  • Sebastian Fernandez 79' goal
  • yellowcard Pablo Gonzalez 24'
  • yellowcard Facundo Tealde 37'
  • yellowcard Lucas Nunez 59'
  • yellowcard Sebastian Diana 85'
  • goal Mauro Goicoechea 89' (OG)
Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 8
Nov 5, 2023 11.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Domingo Burgueno Miguel
  • Tomas Fernandez 57' goal
  • yellowcard Vilinton Branda 44'
  • goal Mauro Zarate 62'
  • goal Gonzalo Bueno 83'
Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 8
Mar 25, 2023 1.00pm
4
0
HT : 2 0
FT Estadio Jardines del Hipódromo
  • Guillermo May 18' goal
  • Leandro Sosa 32' goal
  • Guillermo May 53' goal
  • Guillermo May 70' goal
Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 2
Aug 7, 2022 7.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Jardines del Hipódromo
  • Sebastian Fernandez 52' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Angel Rodriguez 26'
  • yellowcard Facundo Tealde 76'
  • yellowcard Matias Tellechea 87'
  • yellowcard Jose Valentin Amoroso Guerra 90'+6'