Copa Libertadores Gameweek 6
May 27, 2026 1.30am
Estadio Gran Parque Central

Nacional vs Coquimbo Unido - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Nacional

All competitions
Copa Libertadores
Last game
May 20, 2026 11.00pm
Nacional 0 - 0 Universitario

Coquimbo Unido

All competitions
Copa Libertadores
Last game
May 19, 2026 11.00pm
Coquimbo 3 - 0 Tolima

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Nacional win with a probability of 47.94%. A win for Coquimbo Unido has a probability of 26.54% and a draw has a probability of 25.49%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nacional win is 1-0 with a probability of 11.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.42%) and 2-0 (8.77%). The likeliest Coquimbo Unido win is 0-1 (8%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.32%).

Result

Nacional 47.94% (-1.50)
Draw 25.49% (+0.49)
Coquimbo Unido 26.54% (+0.97)

Both Teams to Score: 

49.08% (-1.29)

Goals

Over 1.5 72.3% (-0.57)
Under 1.5 27.7% (+0.56)
Over 2.5 47.34% (-0.60)
Under 2.5 52.66% (+0.60)
Over 3.5 25.16% (-0.99)
Under 3.5 74.84% (+0.99)
Over 4.5 13.9% (-0.71)
Under 4.5 86.1% (+0.71)

First Half Winner

Nacional 34.69% (-0.92)
Draw 46.93% (+1.07)
Coquimbo Unido 18.38% (-0.16)

Team To Score First

Nacional 58.68% (-1.79)
No Goal 7.9% (+0.19)
Coquimbo Unido 33.42% (+1.62)

Corners

Over 8 52.58% (+1.29)
Equal 8 11.84% (-0.11)
Under 8 35.58% (-1.18)
Over 9 41% (+1.29)
Equal 9 11.58% (+0.01)
Under 9 47.42% (-1.29)
Over 10.5 30.59% (+1.17)
Under 10.5 69.41% (-1.16)

Nacional Goals

Over 1.5 43.21% (-1.44)
Under 1.5 56.79% (+1.44)
Over 2.5 18.82% (-1.20)
Under 2.5 81.18% (+1.20)
Over 3.5 6.56% (-0.54)
Under 3.5 93.44% (+0.54)

Coquimbo Unido Goals

Over 0.5 60.6% (+0.70)
Under 0.5 39.4% (-0.70)
Over 1.5 26.37% (+0.52)
Under 1.5 73.63% (-0.52)
Over 2.5 8.75% (+0.44)
Under 2.5 91.25% (-0.44)
Over 3.5 2.28% (+0.07)
Under 3.5 97.72% (-0.08)

Score analysis

Nacional 47.94%
Draw 25.5%
Coquimbo Unido 26.53%
Nacional
1-0 @ 11.77% (+0.06)
2-1 @ 9.42%
2-0 @ 8.77% (-0.27)
3-1 @ 4.49% (-0.32)
3-0 @ 4.42% (-0.13)
3-2 @ 2.56% (-0.25)
Other @ 6.51% (-0.59)
Total : 47.94%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.32% (+0.23)
0-0 @ 7.9% (+0.19)
2-2 @ 4.44% (+0.02)
Other @ 0.05% (+0.04)
Total : 25.5%
Coquimbo Unido
0-1 @ 8% (+0.29)
1-2 @ 6.74% (+0.21)
0-2 @ 3.88% (+0.11)
1-3 @ 2.33% (+0.03)
2-3 @ 1.76% (+0.02)
0-3 @ 1.59% (+0.31)
Other @ 2.23% (+0.03)
Total : 26.53%

Head to Head

Copa Libertadores Gameweek 1
Apr 8, 2026 11.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT Estadio Bicentenario Francisco Sánchez Rumoroso
  • Martín Barraza 60' yellowcard
  • Salvador Cordero 60' yellowcard
  • Lucas Pratto 76' yellowcard
  • Pablo Roberto Andrés Rodríguez Salgado 76' yellowcard
  • Manuel Fernández 90'+5' goal
  • goal Sebastián Coates   22'
  • yellowcard Juan Cruz de los Santos 46'
  • yellowcard Mauricio Vera 61'
  • yellowcard Tomás Verón Lupi 81'
  • yellowcard Nicolás López 90'+1'
  • yellowcard Paolo Calione 90'+1'