Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nacional win with a probability of 51.42%. A draw had a probability of 28.65% and a win for Albion had a probability of 19.93%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nacional win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.64%) and 2-1 (9.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.68%) , while for a Albion win it was 0-1 (8.75%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 15.7% likelihood.