Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 2
May 24, 2026 7.00pm
Parque Alfredo Víctor Viera

Montevideo Wanderers vs Deportivo Maldonado - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Montevideo Wanderers

All competitions
Uruguayan Primera Division
Last game
May 17, 2026 10.00pm
Albion 0 - 0 Wanderers

Deportivo Maldonado

All competitions
Uruguayan Primera Division
Last game
May 18, 2026 10.30pm
Maldonado 3 - 1 Danubio

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Deportivo Maldonado win with a probability of 48.67%. A draw has a probability of 28.93% and a win for Montevideo Wanderers has a probability of 22.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Deportivo Maldonado win is 0-1 with a probability of 14.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-2 (10.34%) and 1-2 (9.08%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (13.26%) , while for a Montevideo Wanderers win it is 1-0 (8.92%).

Result

Montevideo Wanderers 22.4% (-0.05)
Draw 28.93% (-0.02)
Deportivo Maldonado 48.67% (+0.06)

Both Teams to Score: 

44.27% (+0.02)

Goals

Over 1.5 64.95% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 35.05% (-0.02)
Over 2.5 37.65% (-0.01)
Under 2.5 62.35% (+0.01)
Over 3.5 17.81%
Under 3.5 82.19%
Over 4.5 8.84%
Under 4.5 91.16%

First Half Winner

Montevideo Wanderers 18.09% (-0.04)
Draw 47.35% (-0.04)
Deportivo Maldonado 34.56% (+0.08)

Team To Score First

Montevideo Wanderers 31.15% (-0.02)
No Goal 11.33%
Deportivo Maldonado 57.52% (+0.02)

Corners

Over 8 52.52% (+0.20)
Equal 8 12.17% (-0.05)
Under 8 35.31% (-0.15)
Over 9 40.62% (+0.22)
Equal 9 11.9% (-0.02)
Under 9 47.48% (-0.20)
Over 10.5 29.96% (+0.23)
Under 10.5 70.04% (-0.22)

Montevideo Wanderers Goals

Over 1.5 19.45% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 80.55% (+0.04)
Over 2.5 4.86% (-0.02)
Under 2.5 95.14% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 0.98%
Under 3.5 99.02%

Deportivo Maldonado Goals

Over 0.5 74.12% (+0.04)
Under 0.5 25.88% (-0.04)
Over 1.5 39.22% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 60.78% (-0.04)
Over 2.5 14.98% (+0.04)
Under 2.5 85.02% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 4.76% (+0.01)
Under 3.5 95.24% (-0.02)

Score analysis

Montevideo Wanderers 22.41%
Draw 28.93%
Deportivo Maldonado 48.67%
Montevideo Wanderers
1-0 @ 8.92%
2-1 @ 5.47% (-0.02)
2-0 @ 3.7%
3-1 @ 1.36%
3-2 @ 1.02% (-0.02)
3-0 @ 1% (-0.02)
Other @ 0.94%
Total : 22.41%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.26%
0-0 @ 11.33%
2-2 @ 3.8%
Other @ 0.04%
Total : 28.93%
Deportivo Maldonado
0-1 @ 14.81% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 10.34% (+0.01)
1-2 @ 9.08%
0-3 @ 4.28% (+0.02)
1-3 @ 3.82% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 1.62%
Other @ 4.72% (+0.01)
Total : 48.67%

Head to Head

Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 5
Mar 6, 2026 11.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Parque Alfredo Víctor Viera
  • Pablo Suárez 66' yellowcard
  • Joaquín Zeballos 66' yellowcard
  • Lisandro Bajú 73' yellowcard
  • Santiago Benítez 86' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Guillermo López 67'
  • yellowcard Emiliano Mozzone 67'
  • yellowcard Santiago Ramírez 67'
  • yellowcard Joaquín Fernández 80'
  • yellowcard Adrian Vila 81'
Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 4
Sep 20, 2024 11.30pm
1
3
HT : 0 1
FT Estadio Domingo Burgueno Miguel
  • Hernan Petryk 52' yellowcard
  • Hernan Toledo 59' yellowcard
  • Mathias Suarez 77' goal
  • Mathias Suarez 90'+1' yellowcard
  • Mathias Suarez 90'+3' yellowcard
  • goal Jose Alberti 17'
  • yellowcard Matias Fonseca 37'
  • yellowcard Gonzalo Vega 38'
  • goal Lucas Morales 62'
  • goal Paulo Lima 85'
  • yellowcard Jhony Alexander da Silva Sosa 88'
  • yellowcard Jhony Alexander da Silva Sosa 89'
  • yellowcard Nicolas Ferreira 90'+1'
Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 7
Jul 27, 2024 9.30pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Parque Alfredo Victor Viera
  • Bruno Veglio 45' yellowcard
  • Matias Fonseca 75' yellowcard
  • Nicolas Royon 80' goal
  • 90'+2' yellowcard
Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 4
Mar 11, 2024 10.00pm
0
0
HT : 1 1
FT Parque Alfredo Victor Viera
  • Octavio Rivero 23' goal
  • Brian Mansilla 51' goal
  • Anderson Duarte 53' goal
  • Fabricio Formiliano 67' yellowcard
  • Francisco Cerro 82' yellowcard
  • Jose Alberti 85' yellowcard
  • Santiago Guzman 90'+2' yellowcard
  • goal Mauricio Pereyra 10'
  • goal Gonzalo Carneiro 58'
  • yellowcard Sebastian Diana 71'
  • goal Federico Santander 85'
Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 10
Nov 15, 2023 10.00pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio Domingo Burgueno Miguel
  • Tomas Fernandez 33' yellowcard
  • Elias de Leon 44' goal
  • Alexander Gonzalez 74' goal
  • Alexander Gonzalez 83' goal
  • yellowcard Mario Risso 23'
  • yellowcard Emiliano Garcia 78'
  • yellowcard Mauro Silveira 82'
  • yellowcard Francisco Cerro 86'
Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 10
Apr 7, 2023 11.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT Parque Alfredo Víctor Viera
  • goal Tomas Fernandez 45'+1'