Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 2
Defensor
May 24, 2026 10.30pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Luis Franzini
Penarol
  • Brian Lozano 70' yellowcard
  • Lautaro Navarro 80' yellowcard
  • Lautaro Navarro 85' yellowcard
  • Facundo Castro 85' yellowcard
  • Emiliano Alonso 85' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Leandro Umpiérrez 45'
  • yellowcard Matías Arezo 45'
  • yellowcard Jesús Trindade 45'
  • yellowcard Matías Arezo 48'
  • goal Matías Arezo 49'
  • yellowcard 49'
  • yellowcard Matías Arezo 49'
  • yellowcard Mauricio Lemos 64'
  • yellowcard 71'
  • yellowcard Javier Cabrera  71'
  • goal Diego Laxalt 90'+3'

Defensor Sporting vs Penarol - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Defensor Sporting

All competitions
Uruguayan Primera Division
Last game
May 17, 2026 2.00pm
Central Español 2 - 1 Defensor

Penarol

All competitions
Uruguayan Primera Division
Last game
May 16, 2026 10.30pm
Penarol 2 - 1 Liverpool

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Penarol win with a probability of 44.75%. A draw had a probability of 28.68% and a win for Defensor Sporting had a probability of 26.57%.

The most likely scoreline for a Penarol win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.9%) and 1-2 (8.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.51%) , while for a Defensor Sporting win it was 1-0 (10.22%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood.

Result

Defensor Sporting 26.57% ▲ (+0.06)
Draw 28.68% ▲ (+0.04)
Penarol 44.75% ▼ (-0.08)

Both Teams to Score: 

45.29% ▲ (+0.02)

Goals

Over 1.5 64.19% ▲ (+0.15)
Under 1.5 35.81% ▼ (-0.15)
Over 2.5 37.13% ▲ (+0.25)
Under 2.5 62.87% ▼ (-0.21)
Over 3.5 17.76% ▼ (-0.05)
Under 3.5 82.24% ▲ (+0.05)
Over 4.5 8.5% ▼ (-0.08)
Under 4.5 91.5% ▲ (+0.07)

First Half Winner

Defensor Sporting 21.08% ▼ (-0.14)
Draw 47.02% ▲ (+0.23)
Penarol 31.9% ▼ (-0.09)

Team To Score First

Defensor Sporting 37.14% ▲ (+0.14)
No Goal 11.19% ▼ (-0.01)
Penarol 51.67% ▼ (-0.12)

Corners

Over 8 53.51% ▲ (+0.58)
Equal 8 12.26% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 8 34.23% ▼ (-0.61)
Over 9 41.42% ▲ (+0.49)
Equal 9 12.1% ▲ (+0.10)
Under 9 46.49% ▼ (-0.58)
Over 10.5 30.51% ▲ (+0.36)
Under 10.5 69.49% ▼ (-0.36)

Defensor Sporting Goals

Over 1.5 22.37% ▲ (+0.13)
Under 1.5 77.63% ▼ (-0.13)
Over 2.5 5.67% ▲ (+0.08)
Under 2.5 94.33% ▼ (-0.08)
Over 3.5 1.3% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 3.5 98.7% ▲ (+0.02)

Penarol Goals

Over 0.5 71.42% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 0.5 28.58% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 1.5 35.51% ▲ (+0.05)
Under 1.5 64.49% ▼ (-0.06)
Over 2.5 13.1% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 2.5 86.9% ▲ (+0.03)
Over 3.5 3.83% ▼ (-0.05)
Under 3.5 96.17% ▲ (+0.05)

Score analysis

Defensor Sporting 26.57%
Draw 28.68%
Penarol 44.76%
Defensor Sporting
1-0 @ 10.22% ▼ (-0.06)
2-1 @ 6.21% ▲ (+0.09)
2-0 @ 4.64% ▼ (-0.05)
3-1 @ 1.78% ▼ (-0.02)
3-0 @ 1.25% ▲ (+0.09)
3-2 @ 1.18%
Other @ 1.29% ▼ (-0.02)
Total : 26.57%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.51% ▼ (-0.01)
0-0 @ 11.19% ▼ (-0.01)
2-2 @ 3.81% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 28.68%
Penarol
0-1 @ 14.41% ▼ (-0.09)
0-2 @ 8.9% ▼ (-0.03)
1-2 @ 8.52% ▲ (+0.09)
1-3 @ 3.68% ▼ (-0.01)
0-3 @ 3.39% ▲ (+0.06)
2-3 @ 2.04% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 3.82% ▼ (-0.06)
Total : 44.76%

Head to Head

Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 14
Penarol
May 4, 2026 11.30pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio Campeón del Siglo
Defensor
  • Leandro Umpiérrez 18' goal
  • German Barbas 46' yellowcard
  • Matías González 55' yellowcard
  • Stiven Muhlethaler 55' yellowcard
  • Abel Hernández  71' yellowcard
  • Gastón Togni 84' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Alan Torterolo 63'
  • yellowcard Nicolás Wunsch 63'
  • goal Brian Montenegro 68'
  • yellowcard Valentín Rodríguez 78'
Uruguayan Primera Division
Penarol
Nov 2, 2025 10.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Defensor
Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 3
Penarol
Jun 8, 2025 12.00am
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT
Defensor
  • Leonardo Fernandez 31' goal
  • Diego Garcia 54' yellowcard
  • Maximiliano Olivera 64' goal
  • David Terans 89' goal
  • yellowcard Guillermo De Los Santos 42'
  • yellowcard Lucas Agazzi 47'
Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 14
Defensor
May 3, 2025 1.30am
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Luis Franzini
Penarol
  • Juan Bautista Viacava Caviglia 34' yellowcard
  • Juan Bautista Viacava Caviglia 34' yellowcard
  • Jose Alvarez 82' yellowcard
  • Jose Alvarez 82' yellowcard
  • redcard Leo Coelho 9'
  • redcard Leo Coelho 9'
  • yellowcard Leonardo Fernandez 24'
  • yellowcard Leonardo Fernandez 24'
  • goal Leonardo Fernandez 77'
  • goal Leonardo Fernandez 77'
Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 13
Penarol
Nov 17, 2024 9.30pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio Campeon del Siglo
Defensor
  • Leonardo Sequeira 36' yellowcard
  • Leonardo Fernandez 45'+5' goal
  • Alan Medina 90'+3' goal
  • yellowcard Jose Alvarez 34'
  • redcard Guillermo De Los Santos 36'
  • yellowcard Guillermo De Los Santos 36'
  • yellowcard Felipe Cadenazzi 45'+1'
  • yellowcard Xavier Biscayzacu Vazquez 51'
  • yellowcard Damian Garcia 90'+2'
Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 7
Penarol
Jul 27, 2024 9.30pm
1
0
HT : 0 1
FT Estadio Campeon del Siglo
Defensor
  • Gaston Ramirez 36' yellowcard
  • Leonardo Fernandez 45'+1' yellowcard
  • Matheus Babi 90'+1' goal
  • goal Anderson Duarte 11'
  • yellowcard Anderson Duarte 86'
  • yellowcard Guillermo De Los Santos 90'+3'
  • yellowcard Matias Dufour 90'+3'
  • yellowcard Facundo Bernal 90'+7'

Form Data

Central Español 2 - 1 Defensor
Defensor 1 - 2 Juventud
Penarol 1 - 1 Defensor
Defensor 1 - 0 Progreso
Racing 1 - 1 Defensor
Defensor 2 - 0 Boston River
Penarol 1 - 1 Corinthians
Penarol 2 - 1 Liverpool
Cerro Largo 2 - 3 Penarol
Platense 1 - 1 Penarol
Penarol 1 - 1 Defensor
Corinthians 2 - 0 Penarol