Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 2
May 24, 2026 10.30pm
Estadio Luis Franzini

Defensor Sporting vs Penarol - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Defensor Sporting

All competitions
Uruguayan Primera Division
Last game
May 17, 2026 2.00pm
Central Español 2 - 1 Defensor

Penarol

All competitions
Uruguayan Primera Division
Last game
May 16, 2026 10.30pm
Penarol 2 - 1 Liverpool

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Penarol win with a probability of 44.83%. A draw has a probability of 28.65% and a win for Defensor Sporting has a probability of 26.52%.

The most likely scoreline for a Penarol win is 0-1 with a probability of 14.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-2 (8.93%) and 1-2 (8.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (13.52%) , while for a Defensor Sporting win it is 1-0 (10.28%).

Result

Defensor Sporting 26.52% (-0.02)
Draw 28.65% (-0.07)
Penarol 44.83% (+0.08)

Both Teams to Score: 

45.27% (-0.01)

Goals

Over 1.5 64.04% (-0.12)
Under 1.5 35.96% (+0.12)
Over 2.5 36.88% (-0.15)
Under 2.5 63.07% (+0.11)
Over 3.5 17.81% (-0.04)
Under 3.5 82.19% (+0.04)
Over 4.5 8.57%
Under 4.5 91.43%

First Half Winner

Defensor Sporting 21.21% (-0.03)
Draw 46.8% (+0.04)
Penarol 31.99%

Team To Score First

Defensor Sporting 37.01% (-0.08)
No Goal 11.2% (+0.05)
Penarol 51.79% (+0.02)

Corners

Over 8 52.94% (-0.11)
Equal 8 12.22% (-0.04)
Under 8 34.83% (+0.13)
Over 9 40.94% (-0.07)
Equal 9 12% (-0.06)
Under 9 47.06% (+0.11)
Over 10.5 30.16% (-0.02)
Under 10.5 69.84% (+0.02)

Defensor Sporting Goals

Over 1.5 22.25% (-0.11)
Under 1.5 77.75% (+0.10)
Over 2.5 5.6% (-0.04)
Under 2.5 94.4% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 1.31% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 98.69% (-0.02)

Penarol Goals

Over 0.5 71.39% (-0.07)
Under 0.5 28.61% (+0.06)
Over 1.5 35.46% (-0.05)
Under 1.5 64.54% (+0.06)
Over 2.5 13.12% (-0.04)
Under 2.5 86.88% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 3.88% (+0.01)
Under 3.5 96.12% (-0.01)

Score analysis

Defensor Sporting 26.52%
Draw 28.67%
Penarol 44.83%
Defensor Sporting
1-0 @ 10.28% (+0.02)
2-1 @ 6.12% (-0.05)
2-0 @ 4.68% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 1.79% (+0.02)
3-2 @ 1.18% (+0.02)
3-0 @ 1.17% (-0.04)
Other @ 1.3% (+0.02)
Total : 26.52%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.52% (-0.04)
0-0 @ 11.2% (+0.05)
2-2 @ 3.79% (-0.05)
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 28.67%
Penarol
0-1 @ 14.5% (+0.06)
0-2 @ 8.93% (+0.03)
1-2 @ 8.44% (-0.03)
1-3 @ 3.69% (+0.03)
0-3 @ 3.34% (-0.04)
2-3 @ 2.06%
Other @ 3.87% (+0.02)
Total : 44.83%

Head to Head

Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 14
May 4, 2026 11.30pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio Campeón del Siglo
  • Leandro Umpiérrez 18' goal
  • German Barbas 46' yellowcard
  • Matías González 55' yellowcard
  • Stiven Muhlethaler 55' yellowcard
  • Abel Hernández  71' yellowcard
  • Gastón Togni 84' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Alan Torterolo 63'
  • yellowcard Nicolás Wunsch 63'
  • goal Brian Montenegro 68'
  • yellowcard Valentín Rodríguez 78'
Uruguayan Primera Division
Nov 2, 2025 10.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 3
Jun 8, 2025 12.00am
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Leonardo Fernandez 31' goal
  • Diego Garcia 54' yellowcard
  • Maximiliano Olivera 64' goal
  • David Terans 89' goal
  • yellowcard Guillermo De Los Santos 42'
  • yellowcard Lucas Agazzi 47'
Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 14
May 3, 2025 1.30am
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Luis Franzini
  • Juan Bautista Viacava Caviglia 34' yellowcard
  • Juan Bautista Viacava Caviglia 34' yellowcard
  • Jose Alvarez 82' yellowcard
  • Jose Alvarez 82' yellowcard
  • redcard Leo Coelho 9'
  • redcard Leo Coelho 9'
  • yellowcard Leonardo Fernandez 24'
  • yellowcard Leonardo Fernandez 24'
  • goal Leonardo Fernandez 77'
  • goal Leonardo Fernandez 77'
Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 13
Nov 17, 2024 9.30pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio Campeon del Siglo
  • Leonardo Sequeira 36' yellowcard
  • Leonardo Fernandez 45'+5' goal
  • Alan Medina 90'+3' goal
  • yellowcard Jose Alvarez 34'
  • redcard Guillermo De Los Santos 36'
  • yellowcard Guillermo De Los Santos 36'
  • yellowcard Felipe Cadenazzi 45'+1'
  • yellowcard Xavier Biscayzacu Vazquez 51'
  • yellowcard Damian Garcia 90'+2'
Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 7
Jul 27, 2024 9.30pm
1
0
HT : 0 1
FT Estadio Campeon del Siglo
  • Gaston Ramirez 36' yellowcard
  • Leonardo Fernandez 45'+1' yellowcard
  • Matheus Babi 90'+1' goal
  • goal Anderson Duarte 11'
  • yellowcard Anderson Duarte 86'
  • yellowcard Guillermo De Los Santos 90'+3'
  • yellowcard Matias Dufour 90'+3'
  • yellowcard Facundo Bernal 90'+7'