Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Defensor Sporting win with a probability of 36.51%. A win for Central Español had a probability of 32.25% and a draw had a probability of 31.24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Defensor Sporting win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.68%) and 0-2 (6.73%). The likeliest Central Español win was 1-0 (11.71%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (14.03%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood.