Uruguayan Primera Division
May 17, 2026 2.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT Parque Luis Méndez Piana
  • Santiago Sequeira 19' yellowcard
  • Franco Muñoz 31' goal
  • Isaac Méndez 62' goal
  • Mateo Cantera 68' yellowcard
  • Juan Ignacio Dupont 68' yellowcard
  • Lucas Pino 81' yellowcard
  • Rodrigo Muniz 81' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Nicolás Wunsch 29'
  • yellowcard Emiliano Alonso 70'
  • yellowcard Alan Torterolo 70'
  • yellowcard Lautaro Navarro 79'
  • yellowcard Brian Lozano 83'

Central Español vs Defensor Sporting - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Central Español

All competitions
Uruguayan Primera Division
Last game
May 9, 2026 10.30pm
Central Español 2 - 0 Racing

Defensor Sporting

All competitions
Uruguayan Primera Division
Last game
May 10, 2026 3.00pm
Defensor 1 - 2 Juventud

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Defensor Sporting win with a probability of 36.51%. A win for Central Español had a probability of 32.25% and a draw had a probability of 31.24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Defensor Sporting win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.68%) and 0-2 (6.73%). The likeliest Central Español win was 1-0 (11.71%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (14.03%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood.

Result

Central Español 32.25% ▲ (+0.38)
Draw 31.24% ▲ (+0.19)
Defensor Sporting 36.51% ▼ (-0.58)

Both Teams to Score: 

45.03% ▼ (-1.22)

Goals

Over 1.5 63.19% ▼ (-0.42)
Under 1.5 36.81% ▲ (+0.42)
Over 2.5 36.7% ▼ (-0.83)
Under 2.5 63.3% ▲ (+0.83)
Over 3.5 17.53% ▼ (-0.53)
Under 3.5 82.47% ▲ (+0.54)
Over 4.5 8.41% ▼ (-0.28)
Under 4.5 91.59% ▲ (+0.29)

First Half Winner

Central Español 26.55% ▼ (-0.20)
Draw 48.09% ▼ (-0.49)
Defensor Sporting 25.36% ▲ (+0.69)

Team To Score First

Central Español 44.44% ▲ (+0.15)
No Goal 12.36% ▲ (+0.03)
Defensor Sporting 43.2% ▼ (-0.17)

Corners

Over 8 46.81% ▲ (+2.20)
Equal 8 12.52% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 8 40.68% ▼ (-2.18)
Over 9 35.11% ▲ (+2.00)
Equal 9 11.7% ▲ (+0.20)
Under 9 53.19% ▼ (-2.20)
Over 10.5 25.1% ▲ (+1.68)
Under 10.5 74.9% ▼ (-1.67)

Central Español Goals

Over 1.5 26.88% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 1.5 73.12% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 2.5 8.33% ▼ (-0.08)
Under 2.5 91.67% ▲ (+0.08)
Over 3.5 2.09% ▲ (+0.05)
Under 3.5 97.91% ▼ (-0.05)

Defensor Sporting Goals

Over 0.5 66.42% ▼ (-0.38)
Under 0.5 33.58% ▲ (+0.38)
Over 1.5 30.12% ▼ (-0.74)
Under 1.5 69.88% ▲ (+0.73)
Over 2.5 10.13% ▼ (-0.60)
Under 2.5 89.87% ▲ (+0.61)
Over 3.5 2.82% ▼ (-0.13)
Under 3.5 97.18% ▲ (+0.13)

Score analysis

Central Español 32.25%
Draw 31.24%
Defensor Sporting 36.51%
Central Español
1-0 @ 11.71% ▲ (+0.24)
2-1 @ 7.25% ▲ (+0.04)
2-0 @ 5.73% ▲ (+0.20)
3-1 @ 2.28% ▼ (-0.04)
3-0 @ 1.82% ▼ (-0.05)
3-2 @ 1.5% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 1.96% ▼ (-0.03)
Total : 32.25%
Draw
1-1 @ 14.03% ▲ (+0.19)
0-0 @ 12.36% ▲ (+0.03)
2-2 @ 4.08% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 0.13% ▲ (+0.06)
Total : 31.24%
Defensor Sporting
0-1 @ 12.74% ▲ (+0.17)
1-2 @ 7.68% ▼ (-0.16)
0-2 @ 6.73% ▲ (+0.03)
1-3 @ 2.76% ▼ (-0.21)
0-3 @ 2.42% ▼ (-0.13)
2-3 @ 1.49% ▼ (-0.11)
Other @ 2.69% ▼ (-0.19)
Total : 36.51%

Head to Head

Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 5
Mar 8, 2026 11.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Luis Franzini
  • Brian Lozano 54' yellowcard
  • Alan Torterolo 68' yellowcard
  • Alexander Machado 75' yellowcard
  • Nicolás Wunsch 75' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Rodrigo Muniz 46'
  • yellowcard Ignacio Gonella 74'
  • yellowcard Diego Vera 74'
  • yellowcard Franco Muñoz 83'