Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 15
May 10, 2026 3.00pm
Estadio Luis Franzini

Defensor Sporting vs Juventud - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Defensor Sporting

All competitions
Uruguayan Primera Division
Last game
May 4, 2026 11.30pm
Penarol 1 - 1 Defensor

Juventud

All competitions
Uruguayan Primera Division
Last game
May 2, 2026 4.30pm
Juventud 2 - 1 Wanderers

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Defensor Sporting win with a probability of 49.59%. A draw has a probability of 25.79% and a win for Juventud has a probability of 24.62%.

The most likely scoreline for a Defensor Sporting win is 1-0 with a probability of 12.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (10.23%) and 2-0 (9.21%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (12.17%) , while for a Juventud win it is 0-1 (7.62%).

Result

Defensor Sporting 49.59% (-0.30)
Draw 25.79% (+0.06)
Juventud 24.62% (+0.25)

Both Teams to Score: 

49.3%

Goals

Over 1.5 71.4% (-0.07)
Under 1.5 28.6% (+0.08)
Over 2.5 46.46% (-0.05)
Under 2.5 53.54% (+0.05)
Over 3.5 24.79% (-0.06)
Under 3.5 75.21% (+0.05)
Over 4.5 13.7% (-0.08)
Under 4.5 86.3% (+0.07)

First Half Winner

Defensor Sporting 34.08%
Draw 46.72%
Juventud 19.2%

Team To Score First

Defensor Sporting 55.41%
No Goal 8.04% (+0.01)
Juventud 36.55% (-0.02)

Corners

Over 8 48.48%
Equal 8 12.16%
Under 8 39.36%
Over 9 36.97%
Equal 9 11.51%
Under 9 51.52%
Over 10.5 26.95%
Under 10.5 73.05%

Defensor Sporting Goals

Over 1.5 44.25% (-0.28)
Under 1.5 55.75% (+0.28)
Over 2.5 18.24% (-0.20)
Under 2.5 81.76% (+0.20)
Over 3.5 6.74% (-0.10)
Under 3.5 93.26% (+0.11)

Juventud Goals

Over 0.5 59.12% (+0.22)
Under 0.5 40.88% (-0.22)
Over 1.5 24.86% (+0.17)
Under 1.5 75.14% (-0.18)
Over 2.5 8.45% (+0.09)
Under 2.5 91.55% (-0.10)
Over 3.5 1.98% (+0.03)
Under 3.5 98.02% (-0.03)

Score analysis

Defensor Sporting 49.59%
Draw 25.79%
Juventud 24.61%
Defensor Sporting
1-0 @ 12.93% (-0.01)
2-1 @ 10.23% (-0.02)
2-0 @ 9.21% (-0.08)
3-1 @ 4.24% (-0.03)
3-0 @ 4.12% (-0.05)
3-2 @ 2.29% (-0.01)
Other @ 6.57% (-0.09)
Total : 49.59%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.17% (+0.03)
0-0 @ 8.04% (+0.01)
2-2 @ 4.56% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.17% (-0.01)
Total : 25.79%
Juventud
0-1 @ 7.62% (+0.07)
1-2 @ 6% (+0.05)
0-2 @ 3.56% (+0.05)
1-3 @ 2.28% (+0.03)
2-3 @ 2.01% (+0.01)
0-3 @ 1.33% (+0.04)
Other @ 1.81% (+0.04)
Total : 24.61%

Head to Head

Uruguayan Primera Division
Sep 6, 2025 12.00am
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 6
Mar 16, 2025 8.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio Municipal Parque Artigas
  • Agustin Rodriguez 4' goal
  • Alex Maizon Rodriguez Gonzalez 34' yellowcard
  • Valentin Gauthier Pereira Brasil 55' goal
  • Martin Boselli 90'+2' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Kevin Altez 25'
  • goal Diego Fernando Abreu Firenze 80'
  • yellowcard Felipe Cadenazzi 90'+4'
Uruguayan Primera Division
Oct 6, 2019 8.00pm
1
3
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Jose Alberti 62' yellowcard
  • Jose Varela 72' goal
  • Gonzalo Gonzalez 85' yellowcard
  • Rodrigo Rodriguez 88' yellowcard
  • goal Alvaro Gonzalez 9'
  • goal Alan Rodriguez 54'
  • goal Ignacio Laquintana 64'
  • yellowcard Sebastian Fuentes 80'
Uruguayan Primera Division
Jul 20, 2019 7.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Mariano Pavone 95' goal
  • Gonzalo Napoli 98' yellowcard
  • goal Joaquin Zeballos 48'
  • redcard Jorge Gravi 86'
  • yellowcard Juan Pintado 97'
Uruguayan Primera Division
Mar 9, 2019 7.30pm
1
4
HT : 1 2
FT
  • Alvaro Navarro 14' goal
  • Nicolas Correa 29' yellowcard
  • Roberto Ergas 64' yellowcard
  • Alejandro Villoldo 86' yellowcard
  • goal Federico Vinas 10'
  • goal Joaquin Zeballos 22'
  • yellowcard Jose Varela 25'
  • yellowcard Jose Alberti 40'
  • yellowcard Diego Rodriguez 48'
  • goal Joaquin Zeballos 51'
  • goal Joaquin Zeballos 87'