Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Defensor Sporting win with a probability of 49.59%. A draw had a probability of 25.79% and a win for Juventud had a probability of 24.62%.
The most likely scoreline for a Defensor Sporting win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (10.23%) and 2-0 (9.21%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.17%) , while for a Juventud win it was 0-1 (7.62%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.