Scottish Championship Gameweek 3
Aug 22, 2026 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 2 0
LIVE Stark's Park
  • Anton Dowds 8' goal
  • Anton Dowds 16' goal
  • redcard Leon King 5'

Raith Rovers vs Ayr United - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Raith Rovers

All competitions
Scottish Championship
Last game
Aug 8, 2026 3.00pm
Queen's Park 1 - 2 Raith Rovers

Ayr United

All competitions
Scottish Championship
Last game
Aug 8, 2026 3.00pm
Dunfermline 1 - 1 Ayr

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Raith Rovers win with a probability of 57.87%. A draw has a probability of 23.15% and a win for Ayr United has a probability of 18.98%.

The most likely scoreline for a Raith Rovers win is 1-0 with a probability of 11.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (10.33%) and 2-0 (10.21%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (10.94%) , while for a Ayr United win it is 0-1 (5.86%).

Result

Raith Rovers 57.87% (+0.08)
Draw 23.15%
Ayr United 18.98% (-0.08)

Both Teams to Score: 

51.2% (-0.05)

Goals

Over 1.5 75.64% (-0.10)
Under 1.5 24.36% (+0.09)
Over 2.5 51.8% (-0.20)
Under 2.5 48.2% (+0.20)
Over 3.5 29.42% (-0.04)
Under 3.5 70.58% (+0.04)
Over 4.5 17.46% (-0.03)
Under 4.5 82.54% (+0.04)

First Half Winner

Raith Rovers 43.42% (+0.11)
Draw 39.81% (-0.08)
Ayr United 16.77% (-0.02)

Team To Score First

Raith Rovers 62.05%
No Goal 6.82% (+0.03)
Ayr United 31.13% (-0.02)

Corners

Over 8 52.93% (-0.04)
Equal 8 11.93% (-0.01)
Under 8 35.14% (+0.05)
Over 9 41.22% (-0.04)
Equal 9 11.71% (-0.01)
Under 9 47.07% (+0.04)
Over 10.5 30.68% (-0.02)
Under 10.5 69.32% (+0.01)

Raith Rovers Goals

Over 1.5 53% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 47% (-0.01)
Over 2.5 26.47% (-0.06)
Under 2.5 73.53% (+0.05)
Over 3.5 10.5% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 89.5% (+0.02)

Ayr United Goals

Over 0.5 54.67% (-0.08)
Under 0.5 45.33% (+0.08)
Over 1.5 21.69% (-0.12)
Under 1.5 78.31% (+0.13)
Over 2.5 6.25% (-0.06)
Under 2.5 93.75% (+0.07)
Over 3.5 1.56%
Under 3.5 98.44%

Score analysis

Raith Rovers 57.88%
Draw 23.16%
Ayr United 18.98%
Raith Rovers
1-0 @ 11.7% (+0.06)
2-1 @ 10.33% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 10.21% (+0.07)
3-0 @ 6.13% (-0.04)
3-1 @ 5.85% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 3.17% (+0.01)
Other @ 10.49% (-0.02)
Total : 57.88%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.94%
0-0 @ 6.82% (+0.03)
2-2 @ 4.57% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 23.16%
Ayr United
0-1 @ 5.86% (+0.03)
1-2 @ 5.03% (-0.09)
0-2 @ 2.67% (+0.03)
1-3 @ 1.55%
2-3 @ 1.42%
Other @ 1.55%
Total : 18.98%

Head to Head

Scottish Championship Gameweek 31
Mar 27, 2026 7.45pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT Stark's Park
  • Innes Cameron 7' goal
  • Darragh O'Connor 39' yellowcard
  • Joshua Mullin 46' yellowcard
  • Innes Cameron 60' goal
  • Richard Chin 61' yellowcard
  • Richard Chin 67' goal
  • Scott Brown 68' yellowcard
  • Lewis Vaughan 68' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Shaun Want 28'
  • yellowcard Shaun Want 29'
  • yellowcard F. Turley 46'
  • yellowcard J. Bonnar 77'
  • yellowcard Ben Summers 77'
  • yellowcard Jamie Hislop 78'
  • yellowcard Jamie Hislop 81'
Scottish Championship
Jan 31, 2026 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT Somerset Park
  • Ben Dempsey 28' goal
  • Anton Dowds 57' goal
  • Ben Summers 68' yellowcard
  • George Oakley 81' yellowcard
  • Shaun Want 81' yellowcard
  • J. Bonnar 87' yellowcard
  • Ethan Walker 87' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Lewis Vaughan 60'
  • yellowcard Ross Matthews 60'
  • yellowcard Paul Nsio 60'
  • yellowcard Paul McMullan 76'
  • goal Lewis Vaughan 77'
Scottish Championship
Oct 11, 2025 3.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT
Scottish Championship
Aug 9, 2025 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Scottish Championship Gameweek 32
Apr 5, 2025 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Stark's Park
  • Ross Matthews 45'+1' yellowcard
  • Ross Matthews 45'+1' yellowcard
  • Dylan Easton 63' goal
  • Dylan Easton 63' goal
  • yellowcard Ben Dempsey 37'
  • yellowcard Ben Dempsey 37'
  • yellowcard Connor McLennan 45'
  • yellowcard Connor McLennan 45'
  • yellowcard Scott McMann 66'
  • yellowcard Scott McMann 66'
  • yellowcard Nick McAllister 80'
  • yellowcard Nick McAllister 80'
Scottish Championship Gameweek 20
Jan 4, 2025 3.00pm
3
0
HT : 3 0
FT Somerset Park
  • George Oakley 2' goal
  • George Oakley 12' goal
  • George Oakley 25' goal