Scottish Championship Gameweek 3
Aug 22, 2026 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 2 0
FT Stark's Park
  • Anton Dowds 8' goal
  • Anton Dowds 16' goal
  • Calum Adamson 52' yellowcard
  • Charles Telfer 60' yellowcard
  • redcard Leon King 5'
  • yellowcard Ben Summers 61'

Raith Rovers vs Ayr United - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Raith Rovers

All competitions
Scottish Championship
Last game
Aug 8, 2026 3.00pm
Queen's Park 1 - 2 Raith Rovers
Goals scored
5
Top scorer
Anton Dowds

Ayr United

All competitions
Scottish Championship
Last game
Aug 8, 2026 3.00pm
Dunfermline 1 - 1 Ayr
Goals scored
3
Top scorer
Ben Summers

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Raith Rovers win with a probability of 57.87%. A draw had a probability of 23.15% and a win for Ayr United had a probability of 18.98%.

The most likely scoreline for a Raith Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (10.33%) and 2-0 (10.21%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.94%) , while for a Ayr United win it was 0-1 (5.86%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood.

Result

Raith Rovers 57.87% ▲ (+0.08)
Draw 23.15%
Ayr United 18.98% ▼ (-0.08)

Both Teams to Score: 

51.2% ▼ (-0.05)

Goals

Over 1.5 75.64% ▼ (-0.10)
Under 1.5 24.36% ▲ (+0.09)
Over 2.5 51.8% ▼ (-0.20)
Under 2.5 48.2% ▲ (+0.20)
Over 3.5 29.42% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 3.5 70.58% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 4.5 17.46% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 4.5 82.54% ▲ (+0.04)

First Half Winner

Raith Rovers 43.42% ▲ (+0.11)
Draw 39.81% ▼ (-0.08)
Ayr United 16.77% ▼ (-0.02)

Team To Score First

Raith Rovers 62.05%
No Goal 6.82% ▲ (+0.03)
Ayr United 31.13% ▼ (-0.02)

Corners

Over 8 52.93% ▼ (-0.04)
Equal 8 11.93% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 8 35.14% ▲ (+0.05)
Over 9 41.22% ▼ (-0.04)
Equal 9 11.71% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 9 47.07% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 10.5 30.68% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 10.5 69.32% ▲ (+0.01)

Raith Rovers Goals

Over 1.5 53% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 1.5 47% ▼ (-0.01)
Over 2.5 26.47% ▼ (-0.06)
Under 2.5 73.53% ▲ (+0.05)
Over 3.5 10.5% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 3.5 89.5% ▲ (+0.02)

Ayr United Goals

Over 0.5 54.67% ▼ (-0.08)
Under 0.5 45.33% ▲ (+0.08)
Over 1.5 21.69% ▼ (-0.12)
Under 1.5 78.31% ▲ (+0.13)
Over 2.5 6.25% ▼ (-0.06)
Under 2.5 93.75% ▲ (+0.07)
Over 3.5 1.56%
Under 3.5 98.44%

Score analysis

Raith Rovers 57.88%
Draw 23.16%
Ayr United 18.98%
Raith Rovers
1-0 @ 11.7% ▲ (+0.06)
2-1 @ 10.33% ▲ (+0.01)
2-0 @ 10.21% ▲ (+0.07)
3-0 @ 6.13% ▼ (-0.04)
3-1 @ 5.85% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 3.17% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 10.49% ▼ (-0.02)
Total : 57.88%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.94%
0-0 @ 6.82% ▲ (+0.03)
2-2 @ 4.57% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 23.16%
Ayr United
0-1 @ 5.86% ▲ (+0.03)
1-2 @ 5.03% ▼ (-0.09)
0-2 @ 2.67% ▲ (+0.03)
1-3 @ 1.55%
2-3 @ 1.42%
Other @ 1.55%
Total : 18.98%

Head to Head

Scottish Championship Gameweek 31
Mar 27, 2026 7.45pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT Stark's Park
  • Innes Cameron 7' goal
  • Darragh O'Connor 39' yellowcard
  • Joshua Mullin 46' yellowcard
  • Innes Cameron 60' goal
  • Richard Chin 61' yellowcard
  • Richard Chin 67' goal
  • Scott Brown 68' yellowcard
  • Lewis Vaughan 68' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Shaun Want 28'
  • yellowcard Shaun Want 29'
  • yellowcard F. Turley 46'
  • yellowcard J. Bonnar 77'
  • yellowcard Ben Summers 77'
  • yellowcard Jamie Hislop 78'
  • yellowcard Jamie Hislop 81'
Scottish Championship
Jan 31, 2026 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT Somerset Park
  • Ben Dempsey 28' goal
  • Anton Dowds 57' goal
  • Ben Summers 68' yellowcard
  • George Oakley 81' yellowcard
  • Shaun Want 81' yellowcard
  • J. Bonnar 87' yellowcard
  • Ethan Walker 87' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Lewis Vaughan 60'
  • yellowcard Ross Matthews 60'
  • yellowcard Paul Nsio 60'
  • yellowcard Paul McMullan 76'
  • goal Lewis Vaughan 77'
Scottish Championship
Oct 11, 2025 3.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT
Scottish Championship
Aug 9, 2025 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Scottish Championship Gameweek 32
Apr 5, 2025 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Stark's Park
  • Ross Matthews 45'+1' yellowcard
  • Ross Matthews 45'+1' yellowcard
  • Dylan Easton 63' goal
  • Dylan Easton 63' goal
  • yellowcard Ben Dempsey 37'
  • yellowcard Ben Dempsey 37'
  • yellowcard Connor McLennan 45'
  • yellowcard Connor McLennan 45'
  • yellowcard Scott McMann 66'
  • yellowcard Scott McMann 66'
  • yellowcard Nick McAllister 80'
  • yellowcard Nick McAllister 80'
Scottish Championship Gameweek 20
Jan 4, 2025 3.00pm
3
0
HT : 3 0
FT Somerset Park
  • George Oakley 2' goal
  • George Oakley 12' goal
  • George Oakley 25' goal