Scottish Championship Gameweek 2
Aug 8, 2026 3.00pm
East End Park

Dunfermline Athletic vs Ayr United - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Dunfermline Athletic

All competitions
Scottish Championship
Last game
Aug 1, 2026 3.00pm
Inverness 0 - 0 Dunfermline

Ayr United

All competitions
Scottish Championship
Last game
Aug 1, 2026 3.00pm
Ayr 2 - 0 Arbroath

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Dunfermline Athletic win with a probability of 52.77%. A draw has a probability of 26.38% and a win for Ayr United has a probability of 20.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dunfermline Athletic win is 1-0 with a probability of 13.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (10.01%) and 2-1 (9.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (12.3%) , while for a Ayr United win it is 0-1 (7.13%).

Result

Dunfermline Athletic 52.77% (+0.09)
Draw 26.38% (+0.03)
Ayr United 20.9% (-0.02)

Both Teams to Score: 

48.65% (-0.06)

Goals

Over 1.5 71.11% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 28.89% (-0.01)
Over 2.5 45.41% (-0.12)
Under 2.5 54.59% (+0.11)
Over 3.5 24.85% (-0.05)
Under 3.5 75.15% (+0.06)
Over 4.5 13.75% (-0.02)
Under 4.5 86.25% (+0.02)

First Half Winner

Dunfermline Athletic 35.72% (-0.01)
Draw 44.47% (+0.01)
Ayr United 19.81%

Team To Score First

Dunfermline Athletic 56.02% (+0.06)
No Goal 8.71% (+0.05)
Ayr United 35.27% (-0.09)

Corners

Over 8 51.98% (+0.11)
Equal 8 11.14%
Under 8 36.88% (-0.11)
Over 9 41.11% (+0.11)
Equal 9 10.87% (+0.01)
Under 9 48.02% (-0.11)
Over 10.5 31.31% (+0.08)
Under 10.5 68.69% (-0.08)

Dunfermline Athletic Goals

Over 1.5 46.47% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 53.53% (-0.01)
Over 2.5 20.66% (-0.02)
Under 2.5 79.34% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 7.73% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 92.27% (-0.02)

Ayr United Goals

Over 0.5 55.6%
Under 0.5 44.4%
Over 1.5 21.54% (-0.06)
Under 1.5 78.46% (+0.05)
Over 2.5 6.26% (-0.05)
Under 2.5 93.74% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 1.51% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 98.49% (+0.01)

Score analysis

Dunfermline Athletic 52.76%
Draw 26.39%
Ayr United 20.91%
Dunfermline Athletic
1-0 @ 13.11% (+0.04)
2-0 @ 10.01% (+0.04)
2-1 @ 9.79% (-0.02)
3-0 @ 4.96%
3-1 @ 4.84%
3-2 @ 2.38% (-0.02)
Other @ 7.67% (+0.01)
Total : 52.76%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.3% (+0.03)
0-0 @ 8.71% (+0.05)
2-2 @ 4.57% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.06%
Total : 26.39%
Ayr United
0-1 @ 7.13% (+0.05)
1-2 @ 4.95% (-0.02)
0-2 @ 3.38% (+0.03)
1-3 @ 1.7% (-0.02)
2-3 @ 1.44%
Other @ 1.45% (-0.02)
Total : 20.91%

Head to Head

Scottish Championship Gameweek 28
Apr 7, 2026 7.45pm
0
3
HT : 0 1
FT Somerset Park
  • 46' yellowcard
  • Jamie Murphy 46' yellowcard
  • George Finney 60' yellowcard
  • Lucas McRoberts 70' yellowcard
  • goal Josh Cooper 1'
  • yellowcard Chris Kane 33'
  • yellowcard Tashan Oakley-Boothe 46'
  • yellowcard Chris Kane 55'
  • yellowcard Chris Hamilton 65'
  • yellowcard Keith Bray 83'
  • yellowcard Kyle Benedictus 83'
  • goal Keith Bray 86'
Scottish Championship
Dec 20, 2025 3.00pm
2
3
HT : 0 3
FT
  • Zak Rudden 41' yellowcard
  • Zak Rudden 42' yellowcard
  • Kieran Ngwenya 63' goal
  • Kieran Ngwenya 65' goal
  • Charlie Gilmour 83' yellowcard
  • goal Mark McKenzie 5'
  • goal Anton Dowds 26'
  • yellowcard Stuart Bannigan 30'
  • goal Leon King 45'+4'
Scottish Championship
Nov 1, 2025 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Scottish Championship
Sep 23, 2025 7.45pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Scottish Championship Gameweek 31
Mar 29, 2025 3.00pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT Somerset Park
  • Connor McLennan 45' goal
  • Nick McAllister 61' yellowcard
  • Jamie Murphy 68' goal
  • Ethan Walker 90'+5' goal
  • yellowcard Joe Chalmers 81'
  • redcard Victor Wanyama 84'
Scottish Championship Gameweek 21
Jan 14, 2025 7.45pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT East End Park
  • Ewan Otoo 58' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Ben Dempsey 50'
  • goal Jay Henderson 61'
  • goal George Oakley 71'
  • yellowcard Lenny Agbaire 90'