Scottish Championship
Aug 1, 2026 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT Stark's Park
  • Paul McMullan 19' goal
  • Kai Montagu 56' yellowcard
  • goal Lewis Hodgkiss 30'
  • yellowcard Michael Anderson 38'
  • yellowcard Euan O'Reilly 85'
  • yellowcard Matthew Gillies 86'

Raith Rovers vs Stenhousemuir - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Raith Rovers

All competitions
Scottish Championship
Last game
May 1, 2026 7.45pm
Raith Rovers 3 - 2 Ross County

Stenhousemuir

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Raith Rovers win with a probability of 52.26%. A draw had a probability of 24.57% and a win for Stenhousemuir had a probability of 23.17%.

The most likely scoreline for a Raith Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.64%) and 2-0 (8.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.3%) , while for a Stenhousemuir win it was 0-1 (6.61%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood.

Result

Raith Rovers 52.26% (-0.07)
Draw 24.57% (+0.09)
Stenhousemuir 23.17% (+0.03)

Both Teams to Score: 

52.86% (-0.05)

Goals

Over 1.5 75.26% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 24.74% (+0.04)
Over 2.5 51.88% (-0.08)
Under 2.5 48.12% (+0.08)
Over 3.5 29.87% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 70.13% (+0.02)
Over 4.5 17.39% (-0.04)
Under 4.5 82.61% (+0.05)

First Half Winner

Raith Rovers 37.93% (+0.07)
Draw 41.93% (-0.03)
Stenhousemuir 20.14% (-0.04)

Team To Score First

Raith Rovers 57.71% (-0.02)
No Goal 7.24% (+0.07)
Stenhousemuir 35.05% (-0.05)

Corners

Over 8 58.29% (-0.04)
Equal 8 11.99% (-0.03)
Under 8 29.72% (+0.08)
Over 9 46% (-0.01)
Equal 9 12.29% (-0.05)
Under 9 41.71% (+0.04)
Over 10.5 34.52% (+0.03)
Under 10.5 65.48% (-0.02)

Raith Rovers Goals

Over 1.5 49.09% (-0.03)
Under 1.5 50.91% (+0.03)
Over 2.5 23.97% (-0.02)
Under 2.5 76.03% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 9.6% (-0.05)
Under 3.5 90.4% (+0.05)

Stenhousemuir Goals

Over 0.5 58.56% (+0.06)
Under 0.5 41.44% (-0.06)
Over 1.5 25.63%
Under 1.5 74.37%
Over 2.5 7.98% (-0.01)
Under 2.5 92.02% (+0.01)
Over 3.5 2.24% (-0.01)
Under 3.5 97.76% (+0.02)

Score analysis

Raith Rovers 52.26%
Draw 24.58%
Stenhousemuir 23.16%
Raith Rovers
1-0 @ 10.89%
2-1 @ 9.64% (-0.02)
2-0 @ 8.69% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 5.38% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 5.07%
3-2 @ 3.04%
Other @ 9.55% (-0.04)
Total : 52.26%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.3% (+0.03)
0-0 @ 7.24% (+0.07)
2-2 @ 5.11% (+0.03)
Other @ 0.05%
Total : 24.58%
Stenhousemuir
0-1 @ 6.61% (+0.05)
1-2 @ 6.11% (-0.02)
0-2 @ 3.39% (+0.02)
1-3 @ 1.99% (-0.02)
2-3 @ 1.68%
0-3 @ 1.19%
Other @ 2.19% (-0.02)
Total : 23.16%

Head to Head

Scottish League One Gameweek 32
Apr 6, 2019 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Ochilview Park (Stenhousemuir)
  • Mark McGuigan 58' goal
  • yellowcard David McKay 68'
  • yellowcard Liam Buchanan 80'
  • goal Liam Buchanan 93'
Scottish League One Gameweek 20
Jan 5, 2019 3.00pm
5
1
HT : 4 1
FT Stark's Park (Kirkcaldy)
  • Iain Davidson 18' goal
  • Grant Gillespie 33' goal
  • Euan Murray 38' goal
  • Lewis Vaughan 40' goal
  • Chris Duggan 52' goal
  • redcard Conor McBrearty 21'
  • goal Sebastian Ross 25'
  • yellowcard Alan Cook 69'
Scottish League One Gameweek 14
Nov 17, 2018 3.00pm
1
3
HT : 0 1
FT Ochilview Park (Stenhousemuir)
  • Mark McGuigan 67' goal
  • goal Danny Armstrong 11'
  • yellowcard Kevin Nisbet 21'
  • goal Callum Crane 58'
  • yellowcard Kyle Benedictus 82'
  • goal Danny Armstrong 87'
  • yellowcard Robbie Thomson 90'
Scottish League One Gameweek 2
Aug 11, 2018 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Stark's Park (Kirkcaldy)
  • Kevin Nisbet 24' goal
  • Nathaniel Wedderburn 65' yellowcard
  • Kevin Nisbet 76' goal
  • yellowcard Alan Cook 27'
  • yellowcard Colin McMenamin 44'
Scottish Challenge Cup
Aug 18, 2015 7.45pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Alan Cook 67' goal
  • Stephen Stirling 71' goal
  • Liam Henderson 73' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Grant Anderson 28'
  • redcard Jason Thompson 92'