Scottish League Cup Gameweek 5
Jul 25, 2026 3.00pm
Ochilview Park

Stenhousemuir vs Livingston - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Stenhousemuir

All competitions
Scottish League Cup
Last game
Jul 21, 2026 7.45pm
Partick 2 - 2 Stenhousemuir

Livingston

All competitions
Scottish League Cup
Last game
Jul 21, 2026 7.45pm
Livingston 8 - 0 Forfar

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Livingston win with a probability of 46.05%. A win for Stenhousemuir has a probability of 29.77% and a draw has a probability of 24.18%.

The most likely scoreline for a Livingston win is 0-1 with a probability of 9.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (9.19%) and 0-2 (7.32%). The likeliest Stenhousemuir win is 1-0 (7.46%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.31%).

Result

Stenhousemuir 29.77% (+0.11)
Draw 24.18% (-0.02)
Livingston 46.05% (-0.14)

Both Teams to Score: 

55.19% (+0.05)

Goals

Over 1.5 76.44% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 23.56% (+0.02)
Over 2.5 53.11% (+0.01)
Under 2.5 46.89% (-0.01)
Over 3.5 30.88% (+0.04)
Under 3.5 69.12% (-0.04)
Over 4.5 18.53% (+0.02)
Under 4.5 81.47% (-0.02)

First Half Winner

Stenhousemuir 22.98% (-0.04)
Draw 40.37% (-0.07)
Livingston 36.66% (+0.10)

Team To Score First

Stenhousemuir 36.36% (+0.09)
No Goal 6.39% (-0.02)
Livingston 57.25% (-0.08)

Corners

Over 8 64.1% (-0.04)
Equal 8 10.84%
Under 8 25.06% (+0.03)
Over 9 52.51% (-0.04)
Equal 9 11.59%
Under 9 35.9% (+0.04)
Over 10.5 41.18% (-0.04)
Under 10.5 58.82% (+0.04)

Stenhousemuir Goals

Over 1.5 32.31% (+0.11)
Under 1.5 67.69% (-0.11)
Over 2.5 11.9% (+0.07)
Under 2.5 88.1% (-0.07)
Over 3.5 4.11% (+0.05)
Under 3.5 95.89% (-0.05)

Livingston Goals

Over 0.5 75.47% (-0.10)
Under 0.5 24.53% (+0.11)
Over 1.5 44.59% (-0.11)
Under 1.5 55.41% (+0.11)
Over 2.5 21.32% (-0.08)
Under 2.5 78.68% (+0.09)
Over 3.5 7.95% (-0.04)
Under 3.5 92.05% (+0.04)

Score analysis

Stenhousemuir 29.78%
Draw 24.18%
Livingston 46.05%
Stenhousemuir
1-0 @ 7.46% (+0.01)
2-1 @ 7.23% (+0.03)
2-0 @ 4.69% (+0.03)
3-1 @ 2.62% (+0.03)
3-0 @ 2.05%
3-2 @ 1.78% (+0.02)
Other @ 3.95% (+0.05)
Total : 29.78%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.31% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 6.39% (-0.02)
2-2 @ 4.98% (+0.02)
3-3 @ 1.34% (-0.02)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 24.18%
Livingston
0-1 @ 9.72% (-0.02)
1-2 @ 9.19% (-0.03)
0-2 @ 7.32% (-0.03)
1-3 @ 4.75% (-0.01)
0-3 @ 3.77% (-0.03)
2-3 @ 3.51%
Other @ 7.79% (-0.04)
Total : 46.05%

Head to Head

Scottish Cup
Jan 21, 2023 3.00pm
1
3
HT : 1 0
FT Ochilview Park
  • Nicky Jamieson 26' goal
  • goal Scott Pittman 52'
  • goal Steven Bradley 55'
  • goal Steven Bradley 59'
Scottish League Cup
Nov 10, 2020 7.30pm
0
4
HT : 0 3
FT
  • Andy Munro 25' yellowcard
  • Tommy Muir 58' yellowcard
  • goal Alan Forrest 1'
  • goal Alan Forrest 8'
  • goal Matej Poplatnik 30'
  • goal Aaron Taylor-Sinclair 65'
Scottish League One
Apr 15, 2017 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • goal Liam Buchanan 54'
Scottish League One
Mar 21, 2017 7.45pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Nikolay Todorov 25' goal
  • yellowcard Kieran Millar 56'
  • yellowcard Conner Duthie 69'
  • yellowcard Willis Furtado 84'
Scottish League One
Dec 13, 2016 7.30pm
0
4
HT : 0 1
FT
  • David Marsh 75' yellowcard
  • Colin McMenamin 85' yellowcard
  • goal Ciaran Summers 16' (OG)
  • goal Raffaele De Vita 70'
  • yellowcard Sean Crighton 75'
  • goal Liam Buchanan 81'
  • goal Dale Carrick 92'
Scottish League One
Aug 20, 2016 3.00pm
4
1
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Daniel Mullen 4' goal
  • Scott Pittman 23' goal
  • Daniel Mullen 49' goal
  • Michael Miller 75' yellowcard
  • Jackson Longridge 78' goal
  • Alan Lithgow 91' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Stephen Stirling 36'
  • yellowcard Grant Hamilton 44'
  • yellowcard Jamie McCormack 56'
  • yellowcard Alan Cook 82'
  • goal Colin McMenamin 92'