World Cup Qualifying - Africa
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Jojea Kwizera
58'
-
Jojea Kwizera
59'
-
Motlomelo Mkwanazi
61'
-
Motlomelo Mkwanazi
61'
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Lehlohonolo Fothoane
82'
Rwanda vs Lesotho - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rwanda win with a probability of 64.91%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for Lesotho had a probability of 12.65%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rwanda win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (14.27%) and 2-1 (8.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.11%), while for a Lesotho win it was 0-1 (5.73%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood.
Result
Rwanda
64.91%
▲
(+0.29)
Draw
22.44%
▼
(-0.07)
Lesotho
12.65%
▼
(-0.23)
Both Teams to Score:
38.5%
▼
(-0.39)
Goals
Over 2.5
42.72%
▼
(-0.19)
Under 2.5
57.27%
▲
(+0.19)
Over 3.5
21.88%
▼
(-0.15)
Under 3.5
78.11%
▲
(+0.15)
Over 4.5
9.44%
▼
(-0.09)
Under 4.5
90.56%
▲
(+0.10)
Rwanda Goals
Over 0.5
82.86%
▲
(+0.04)
Under 0.5
17.14%
▼
(-0.04)
Over 1.5
52.62%
▲
(+0.06)
Under 1.5
47.37%
▼
(-0.06)
Lesotho Goals
Over 0.5
46.46%
▼
(-0.49)
Under 0.5
53.54%
▲
(+0.49)
Over 1.5
13.01%
▼
(-0.31)
Under 1.5
86.99%
▲
(+0.31)
Score analysis
Rwanda
64.9%
Draw
22.44%
Lesotho
12.65%
Rwanda
1-0
@
16.18%
▲
(+0.13)
2-0 @ 14.27% ▲ (+0.13)
2-1 @ 8.92% ▼ (-0.05)
3-0 @ 8.39% ▲ (+0.09)
3-1 @ 5.24% ▼ (-0.03)
4-0 @ 3.7% ▲ (+0.05)
4-1 @ 2.31% ▼ (-0.01)
3-2 @ 1.64% ▼ (-0.04)
5-0 @ 1.31% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 2.95%
Total : 64.9%
2-0 @ 14.27% ▲ (+0.13)
2-1 @ 8.92% ▼ (-0.05)
3-0 @ 8.39% ▲ (+0.09)
3-1 @ 5.24% ▼ (-0.03)
4-0 @ 3.7% ▲ (+0.05)
4-1 @ 2.31% ▼ (-0.01)
3-2 @ 1.64% ▼ (-0.04)
5-0 @ 1.31% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 2.95%
Total : 64.9%
Draw
1-1
@
10.11%
▼
(-0.07)
0-0 @ 9.18% ▲ (+0.07)
2-2 @ 2.79% ▼ (-0.06)
Other @ 0.37%
Total : 22.44%
0-0 @ 9.18% ▲ (+0.07)
2-2 @ 2.79% ▼ (-0.06)
Other @ 0.37%
Total : 22.44%
Lesotho
0-1
@
5.73%
▼
(-0.05)
1-2 @ 3.16% ▼ (-0.07)
0-2 @ 1.79% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 1.96%
Total : 12.65%
1-2 @ 3.16% ▼ (-0.07)
0-2 @ 1.79% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 1.96%
Total : 12.65%