Premier League Gameweek 7
Brighton
Oct 18, 2026 2.00pm
The American Express Community Stadium
Crystal Palace

Brighton & Hove Albion vs Crystal Palace - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Brighton & Hove Albion

All competitions
Last game
Oct 10, 2026 3.00pm
Sunderland 0 - 2 Brighton
Goals scored
18
Top scorer
Pascal Groß

Crystal Palace

All competitions
Last game
Oct 11, 2026 2.00pm
Crystal Palace 3 - 1 Nott'm Forest
Goals scored
9
Top scorer
Tyrick Mitchell

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Brighton & Hove Albion win with a probability of 55.12%. A draw has a probability of 23.79% and a win for Crystal Palace has a probability of 21.08%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brighton & Hove Albion win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (9.93%) and 2-0 (8.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (10.9%) , while for a Crystal Palace win it is 1-2 (5.67%).

Result

Brighton & Hove Albion 55.12% ▼ (-0.04)
Draw 23.79% ▼ (-0.09)
Crystal Palace 21.08% ▲ (+0.11)

Both Teams to Score: 

55.04% ▲ (+0.44)

Goals

Over 1.5 79.23% ▲ (+0.33)
Under 1.5 20.77% ▼ (-0.33)
Over 2.5 56.7% ▲ (+0.45)
Under 2.5 43.3% ▼ (-0.45)
Over 3.5 33.93% ▲ (+0.36)
Under 3.5 66.07% ▼ (-0.37)
Over 4.5 20.53% ▲ (+0.27)
Under 4.5 79.47% ▼ (-0.27)

First Half Winner

Brighton & Hove Albion 42.3% ▲ (+0.24)
Draw 37.84% ▼ (-0.11)
Crystal Palace 19.86% ▼ (-0.15)

Team To Score First

Brighton & Hove Albion 60.42%
No Goal 5.57% ▼ (-0.13)
Crystal Palace 34.01% ▲ (+0.12)

Corners

Over 8 63% ▲ (+0.03)
Equal 8 10.8% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 8 26.19% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 9 51.52% ▲ (+0.05)
Equal 9 11.48% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 9 37% ▼ (-0.03)
Over 10.5 40.35% ▲ (+0.08)
Under 10.5 59.65% ▼ (-0.08)

Brighton & Hove Albion Goals

Over 1.5 54.44% ▲ (+0.22)
Under 1.5 45.56% ▼ (-0.22)
Over 2.5 28.07% ▲ (+0.22)
Under 2.5 71.93% ▼ (-0.21)
Over 3.5 11.74% ▲ (+0.14)
Under 3.5 88.26% ▼ (-0.13)

Crystal Palace Goals

Over 0.5 58.4% ▲ (+0.25)
Under 0.5 41.6% ▼ (-0.25)
Over 1.5 26.5% ▲ (+0.29)
Under 1.5 73.5% ▼ (-0.29)
Over 2.5 9.03% ▲ (+0.15)
Under 2.5 90.97% ▼ (-0.16)
Over 3.5 2.53% ▲ (+0.06)
Under 3.5 97.47% ▼ (-0.07)

Score analysis

Brighton & Hove Albion 55.12%
Draw 23.8%
Crystal Palace 21.08%
Brighton & Hove Albion
2-1 @ 9.97% ▲ (+0.04)
1-0 @ 9.93% ▼ (-0.16)
2-0 @ 8.83% ▼ (-0.09)
3-0 @ 5.88% ▼ (-0.03)
3-1 @ 5.76% ▲ (+0.03)
3-2 @ 3.36% ▲ (+0.05)
Other @ 11.39% ▲ (+0.13)
Total : 55.12%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.9% ▼ (-0.03)
2-2 @ 5.65% ▲ (+0.06)
0-0 @ 5.57% ▼ (-0.13)
3-3 @ 1.33% ▲ (+0.04)
Other @ 0.35% ▲ (+0.01)
Total : 23.8%
Crystal Palace
1-2 @ 5.67% ▲ (+0.05)
0-1 @ 5.27% ▼ (-0.07)
0-2 @ 2.79% ▼ (-0.01)
1-3 @ 1.99% ▲ (+0.03)
2-3 @ 1.92% ▲ (+0.03)
0-3 @ 1.26% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 2.18% ▲ (+0.06)
Total : 21.08%

Head to Head

Premier League Gameweek 25
Brighton
Feb 8, 2026 2.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT The American Express Community Stadium
Crystal Palace
  • Diego Gómez 71' yellowcard
  • Danny Welbeck 71' yellowcard
  • Yankuba Minteh 71' yellowcard
  • Jack Hinshelwood 82' yellowcard
  • Matt O'Riley 82' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Evann Guessand 56'
  • goal Ismaïla Sarr 61'
  • yellowcard Daichi Kamada 77'
  • yellowcard Brennan Johnson 88'
Premier League
Crystal Palace
Nov 9, 2025 2.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Brighton
Premier League Gameweek 31
Crystal Palace
Apr 5, 2025 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT Selhurst Park
Brighton
  • Jean-Philippe Mateta 3' goal
  • Daniel Munoz 55' goal
  • Marc Guehi 57' yellowcard
  • Eddie Nketiah 69' yellowcard
  • Eddie Nketiah 78' redcard
  • Marc Guehi 90' redcard
  • yellowcard Jan Paul van Hecke 25'
  • goal Danny Welbeck 31'
  • yellowcard Solly March 80'
  • redcard Jan Paul van Hecke 90'+6'
Premier League Gameweek 16
Brighton
Dec 15, 2024 2.00pm
1
3
HT : 0 2
FT Broadfield Stadium
Crystal Palace
  • Lewis Dunk 45'+1' yellowcard
  • Marc Guehi 87' goal
  • goal Trevoh Chalobah 27'
  • goal Ismaila Sarr 33'
  • yellowcard Marc Guehi 45'+4'
  • yellowcard Daniel Munoz 51'
  • yellowcard Dean Henderson 69'
  • yellowcard Ismaila Sarr 79'
  • goal Ismaila Sarr 82'
Premier League Gameweek 23
Brighton
Feb 3, 2024 3.00pm
4
1
HT : 3 0
FT The American Express Community Stadium
Crystal Palace
  • Lewis Dunk 3' goal
  • Roberto De Zerbi 7' yellowcard
  • Jack Hinshelwood 33' goal
  • Facundo Buonanotte 34' goal
  • Joao Pedro 85' goal
  • Danny Welbeck 90'+2' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Marc Guehi 16'
  • yellowcard Matheus Franca 59'
  • yellowcard Daniel Munoz 62'
  • goal Jean-Philippe Mateta 71'
Premier League Gameweek 18
Crystal Palace
Dec 21, 2023 8.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT Selhurst Park
Brighton
  • Jean-Philippe Mateta 29' yellowcard
  • Jordan Ayew 45'+1' goal
  • Will Hughes 50' yellowcard
  • Tyrick Mitchell 54' yellowcard
  • David Ozoh 85' yellowcard
  • Dean Henderson 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Carlos Balepa 31'
  • yellowcard Igor Julio 57'
  • goal Danny Welbeck 82'

Form Data

Sunderland 0 - 2 Brighton
Brighton 3 - 0 Arsenal
Man Utd 2 - 3 Brighton
Coventry 0 - 5 Brighton
Brighton 1 - 1 Leeds
Chelsea 4 - 3 Brighton
Crystal Palace 3 - 1 Nott'm Forest
Leeds 0 - 0 Crystal Palace
Crystal Palace 4 - 0 Lech Poznan
Crystal Palace 2 - 3 Ipswich
Crystal Palace 3 - 0 Middlesbrough
Fulham 2 - 3 Crystal Palace