Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portugal win with a probability of 60.5%. A draw had a probability of 22.55% and a win for Congo DR had a probability of 16.95%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portugal win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.46%) and 2-1 (9.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.66%) , while for a Congo DR win it was 0-1 (5.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood.