World Cup Gameweek 1
Jun 17, 2026 6.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT Houston Stadium
  • João Neves 6' goal
  • Bernardo Silva 13' yellowcard
  • Nélson Semedo 88' yellowcard
  • Tomás Araújo 90'+2' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Chancel Mbemba 32'
  • goal Yoane Wissa 45'+5'

Portugal vs Congo DR - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

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The match

Team News
Match Preview
Predicted Lineups

Form, Standings, Stats

Portugal

All competitions

Congo DR

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portugal win with a probability of 60.5%. A draw had a probability of 22.55% and a win for Congo DR had a probability of 16.95%.

The most likely scoreline for a Portugal win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.46%) and 2-1 (9.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.66%) , while for a Congo DR win it was 0-1 (5.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood.

Result

Portugal 60.5% (+0.36)
Draw 22.55% (-0.15)
Congo DR 16.95% (-0.20)

Both Teams to Score: 

47.7% (+0.06)

Goals

Over 1.5 74.34% (+0.11)
Under 1.5 25.66% (-0.11)
Over 2.5 49.75% (+0.21)
Under 2.5 50.25% (-0.21)
Over 3.5 27.9% (+0.20)
Under 3.5 72.1% (-0.21)
Over 4.5 16.65% (+0.17)
Under 4.5 83.35% (-0.17)

Portugal Goals

Over 1.5 53.78% (+0.31)
Under 1.5 46.22% (-0.31)
Over 2.5 27.4% (+0.30)
Under 2.5 72.6% (-0.31)
Over 3.5 11.34% (+0.17)
Under 3.5 88.66% (-0.18)

Congo DR Goals

Over 0.5 50.54% (-0.22)
Under 0.5 49.46% (+0.22)
Over 1.5 18.39% (-0.17)
Under 1.5 81.61% (+0.16)
Over 2.5 4.85% (-0.08)
Under 2.5 95.15% (+0.08)
Over 3.5 1.04% (-0.04)
Under 3.5 98.96% (+0.03)

Score analysis

Portugal 60.49%
Draw 22.55%
Congo DR 16.96%
Portugal
1-0 @ 12.71% (+0.02)
2-0 @ 11.46% (+0.02)
2-1 @ 9.69% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 6.98% (+0.08)
3-1 @ 5.89% (+0.05)
3-2 @ 2.49% (+0.03)
Other @ 11.27% (+0.18)
Total : 60.49%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.66% (-0.06)
0-0 @ 7.04% (-0.08)
2-2 @ 4.08% (-0.02)
Other @ 0.07% (-0.01)
Total : 22.55%
Congo DR
0-1 @ 5.91% (-0.06)
1-2 @ 4.49% (-0.05)
0-2 @ 2.48% (-0.05)
1-3 @ 1.26% (-0.02)
2-3 @ 1.15%
Other @ 0.97% (-0.03)
Total : 16.96%

Build-up

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