EFL Cup
Newcastle
Jan 13, 2026 8.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT St. James' Park
Man City
  • Harvey Barnes 45'+2' yellowcard
  • Anthony Elanga 69' yellowcard
  • Sandro Tonali 69' yellowcard
  • Nick Woltemade 69' yellowcard
  • Kieran Trippier 87' yellowcard
  • goal Antoine Semenyo 53'
  • yellowcard Rodri 62'
  • yellowcard Tijjani Reijnders 62'
  • yellowcard Rico Lewis 62'
  • yellowcard Rayan Cherki 77'
  • yellowcard Rayan Ait-Nouri 88'
  • goal Rayan Cherki 90'+8'

Newcastle United vs Manchester City - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Result
Team News
Match Preview
Predicted Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions

Form, Standings, Stats

Newcastle United

All competitions

Manchester City

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 44.05%. A win for Newcastle United had a probability of 33.12% and a draw had a probability of 22.83%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.01%) and 0-2 (6.28%). The likeliest Newcastle United win was 2-1 (7.54%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.05%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.

Result

Newcastle United 33.12%
Draw 22.83%
Manchester City 44.05%

Both Teams to Score: 

61.94%

Goals

Over 1.5 82.51%
Under 1.5 17.49%
Over 2.5 61.88%
Under 2.5 38.07%
Over 3.5 39.3%
Under 3.5 60.7%
Over 4.5 24.55%
Under 4.5 75.45%

First Half Winner

Newcastle United 27.57%
Draw 38.59%
Manchester City 33.84%

Team To Score First

Newcastle United 44.39%
No Goal 4.41%
Manchester City 51.2%

Corners

Over 8 56.91%
Equal 8 10.74%
Under 8 32.34%
Over 9 46.02%
Equal 9 10.89%
Under 9 43.09%
Over 10.5 35.83%
Under 10.5 64.17%

Newcastle United Goals

Over 1.5 39.27%
Under 1.5 60.73%
Over 2.5 17.06%
Under 2.5 82.94%
Over 3.5 6.12%
Under 3.5 93.88%

Manchester City Goals

Over 0.5 76.85%
Under 0.5 23.15%
Over 1.5 48.54%
Under 1.5 51.46%
Over 2.5 23.74%
Under 2.5 76.26%
Over 3.5 10.07%
Under 3.5 89.93%

Score analysis

Newcastle United 33.13%
Draw 22.83%
Manchester City 44.06%
Newcastle United
2-1 @ 7.54%
1-0 @ 6.09%
2-0 @ 4.3%
3-1 @ 3.71%
3-2 @ 3.12%
3-0 @ 2.49%
Other @ 5.88%
Total : 33.13%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.05%
2-2 @ 6.51%
0-0 @ 4.41%
3-3 @ 1.62%
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 22.83%
Manchester City
1-2 @ 8.89%
0-1 @ 7.01%
0-2 @ 6.28%
1-3 @ 4.53%
2-3 @ 3.86%
0-3 @ 3.66%
Other @ 9.83%
Total : 44.06%

Head to Head

Premier League
Newcastle
Nov 22, 2025 5.30pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Man City
Premier League Gameweek 25
Man City
Feb 15, 2025 3.00pm
4
0
HT : 3 0
FT Etihad Stadium
Newcastle
  • Omar Marmoush 19' goal
  • Omar Marmoush 24' goal
  • Omar Marmoush 33' goal
  • James McAtee 84' goal
  • yellowcard Bruno Guimaraes 50'
Premier League Gameweek 6
Newcastle
Sep 28, 2024 12.30pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT St. James' Park
Man City
  • Fabian Schar 26' yellowcard
  • Bruno Guimaraes 32' yellowcard
  • Anthony Gordon 58' goal
  • Sandro Tonali 62' yellowcard
  • Joelinton 63' yellowcard
  • goal Josko Gvardiol 35'
  • yellowcard Ederson 56'
  • yellowcard Mateo Kovacic 60'
  • yellowcard Jack Grealish 62'
  • yellowcard Ruben Dias 90'
FA Cup
Man City
Mar 16, 2024 5.30pm
2
0
HT : 2 0
FT Etihad Stadium
Newcastle
  • Bernardo Silva 13' goal
  • Bernardo Silva 31' goal
  • yellowcard Fabian Schar 18'
  • yellowcard Jamaal Lascelles 28'
  • yellowcard Miguel Almiron 90'+3'
Premier League Gameweek 21
Newcastle
Jan 13, 2024 5.30pm
2
3
HT : 2 1
FT St. James' Park
Man City
  • Bruno Guimaraes 21' yellowcard
  • Alexander Isak 35' goal
  • Anthony Gordon 37' goal
  • goal Bernardo Silva 26'
  • yellowcard Rodri 45'+4'
  • yellowcard Bernardo Silva 55'
  • goal Kevin De Bruyne 74'
  • goal Oscar Bobb 90'+1'
EFL Cup
Newcastle
Sep 27, 2023 8.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT St. James' Park
Man City
  • Alexander Isak 53' goal
  • Bruno Guimaraes 69' yellowcard
  • Sandro Tonali 82' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Manuel Akanji 65'
  • yellowcard Kalvin Phillips 66'
  • yellowcard Pep Guardiola 78'

Form Data

Newcastle 0 - 0 Bournemouth
Newcastle 4 - 3 Leeds
Newcastle 0 - 0 Crystal Palace
Burnley 1 - 3 Newcastle
Man Utd 1 - 0 Newcastle
Newcastle 2 - 2 Chelsea
Man City 0 - 0 Exeter
Man City 1 - 1 Brighton
Man City 0 - 0 Chelsea
Sunderland 0 - 0 Man City
Nott'm Forest 1 - 2 Man City
Man City 3 - 0 West Ham

Build-up

News
News