Nations League Gameweek 3
Oct 3, 2026 5.00pm
Stadion HNK Rijeka

Croatia vs England - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Croatia

All competitions

England

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a England win with a probability of 44.34%. A win for Croatia has a probability of 32.99% and a draw has a probability of 22.64%.

The most likely scoreline for a England win is 1-2 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-1 (7.17%) and 0-2 (6.89%). The likeliest Croatia win is 2-1 (7.48%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.7%).

Result

Croatia 32.99%
Draw 22.64%
England 44.34%

Both Teams to Score: 

60.19%

Goals

Over 1.5 82.3%
Under 1.5 17.7%
Over 2.5 60.34%
Under 2.5 39.66%
Over 3.5 36.67%
Under 3.5 63.33%
Over 4.5 22.02%
Under 4.5 77.98%

First Half Winner

Croatia 29.09%
Draw 34.4%
England 36.51%

Team To Score First

Croatia 47.3%
No Goal 4.26%
England 48.44%

Corners

Over 8 55.52%
Equal 8 10.52%
Under 8 33.97%
Over 9 44.95%
Equal 9 10.56%
Under 9 44.48%
Over 10.5 35.13%
Under 10.5 64.87%

Croatia Goals

Over 1.5 37.98%
Under 1.5 62.02%
Over 2.5 16.84%
Under 2.5 83.16%
Over 3.5 5.34%
Under 3.5 94.66%

England Goals

Over 0.5 77.55%
Under 0.5 22.45%
Over 1.5 47.79%
Under 1.5 52.21%
Over 2.5 22.56%
Under 2.5 77.44%
Over 3.5 8.81%
Under 3.5 91.19%

Score analysis

Croatia 32.98%
Draw 22.65%
England 44.35%
Croatia
2-1 @ 7.48%
1-0 @ 6.25%
3-1 @ 4.41%
2-0 @ 4.36%
3-2 @ 2.92%
3-0 @ 2.5%
Other @ 5.06%
Total : 32.98%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.7%
2-2 @ 5.74%
0-0 @ 4.26%
3-3 @ 1.67%
Other @ 0.28%
Total : 22.65%
England
1-2 @ 9.68%
0-1 @ 7.17%
0-2 @ 6.89%
1-3 @ 4.51%
0-3 @ 4.01%
2-3 @ 3.56%
Other @ 8.53%
Total : 44.35%

Head to Head

World Cup Gameweek 1
Jun 17, 2026 9.00pm
4
2
HT : 2 2
FT Dallas Stadium
  • Harry Kane  12' goal
  • Harry Kane  42' goal
  • Jude Bellingham 47' goal
  • Marcus Rashford 85' goal
  • goal Martin Baturina 36'
  • goal Petar Musa 45'+5'
European Championship
Jun 13, 2021 2.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Wembley Stadium
  • Raheem Sterling 57' goal
  • Phil Foden 64' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Duje Caleta-Car 42'
  • yellowcard Mateo Kovacic 48'
  • yellowcard Marcelo Brozovic 66'
Nations League
Nov 18, 2018 2.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Ross Barkley 26' yellowcard
  • Jesse Lingard 78' goal
  • Harry Kane 85' goal
  • goal Andrej Kramaric 57'
  • yellowcard Tin Jedvaj 67'
  • yellowcard Marcelo Brozovic 67'
  • yellowcard Dejan Lovren 89'
Nations League
Oct 12, 2018 7.45pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Mateo Kovacic 25' yellowcard
  • Dejan Lovren 45' yellowcard
  • Tin Jedvaj 59' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jordan Henderson 6'
  • yellowcard John Stones 52'
  • yellowcard Raheem Sterling 72'
World Cup
Jul 11, 2018 7.00pm
2
1
ET Stadion Luzhniki (Moskva)
  • Ivan Perisic 68' goal
  • Mario Mandzukic 109' goal
  • goal Kieran Trippier 5'