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Spain vs Croatia - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Spain win with a probability of 61.73%. A draw has a probability of 19.71% and a win for Croatia has a probability of 18.56%.
The most likely scoreline for a Spain win is 1-0 with a probability of 10.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.81%) and 2-0 (9.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (9.45%) , while for a Croatia win it is 1-2 (5.03%).
Result
Spain
61.73%
▼
(-1.89)
Draw
19.71%
▲
(+0.75)
Croatia
18.56%
▲
(+1.14)
Both Teams to Score:
51.96%
▲
(+0.51)
Goals
Over 1.5
80.16%
▼
(-0.96)
Under 1.5
19.84%
▲
(+0.95)
Over 2.5
58.43%
▼
(-2.22)
Under 2.5
41.57%
▲
(+2.22)
Over 3.5
35.88%
▼
(-1.56)
Under 3.5
64.12%
▲
(+1.57)
Over 4.5
22.99%
▼
(-1.94)
Under 4.5
77.01%
▲
(+1.94)
First Half Winner
Spain
40.74%
▼
(-3.42)
Draw
41.48%
▲
(+3.67)
Croatia
17.79%
▼
(-0.25)
Team To Score First
Spain
61.82%
▼
(-1.22)
No Goal
4.78%
▲
(+0.25)
Croatia
33.4%
▲
(+0.97)
Corners
Over 8
56.66%
▼
(-5.02)
Equal 8
10.91%
▲
(+0.64)
Under 8
32.44%
▲
(+4.39)
Over 9
45.65%
▼
(-5.22)
Equal 9
11.01%
▲
(+0.21)
Under 9
43.34%
▲
(+5.02)
Over 10.5
35.4%
▼
(-5.00)
Under 10.5
64.6%
▲
(+4.99)
Spain Goals
Over 1.5
58.76%
▼
(-2.18)
Under 1.5
41.24%
▲
(+2.18)
Over 2.5
33.13%
▼
(-2.56)
Under 2.5
66.87%
▲
(+2.57)
Over 3.5
15.08%
▼
(-2.12)
Under 3.5
84.92%
▲
(+2.13)
Croatia Goals
Over 0.5
53.44%
▲
(+1.90)
Under 0.5
46.56%
▼
(-1.90)
Over 1.5
22.47%
▲
(+0.68)
Under 1.5
77.53%
▼
(-0.68)
Over 2.5
6.93%
▼
(-0.25)
Under 2.5
93.07%
▲
(+0.25)
Over 3.5
2%
▼
(-0.01)
Under 3.5
98%
▲
(+0.02)
Score analysis
Spain
61.74%
Draw
19.72%
Croatia
18.55%
Spain
1-0
@
10.12%
▲
(+0.24)
2-1 @ 9.81% ▼ (-0.03)
2-0 @ 9.66% ▲ (+0.24)
3-0 @ 6.98% ▼ (-0.59)
3-1 @ 6.76% ▲ (+0.13)
3-2 @ 3.38% ▲ (+0.17)
Other @ 15.03% ▼ (-2.01)
Total : 61.74%
2-1 @ 9.81% ▼ (-0.03)
2-0 @ 9.66% ▲ (+0.24)
3-0 @ 6.98% ▼ (-0.59)
3-1 @ 6.76% ▲ (+0.13)
3-2 @ 3.38% ▲ (+0.17)
Other @ 15.03% ▼ (-2.01)
Total : 61.74%
Draw
1-1
@
9.45%
▲
(+0.64)
0-0 @ 4.78% ▲ (+0.25)
2-2 @ 4.51% ▲ (+0.13)
Other @ 0.05% ▼ (-0.13)
Total : 19.72%
0-0 @ 4.78% ▲ (+0.25)
2-2 @ 4.51% ▲ (+0.13)
Other @ 0.05% ▼ (-0.13)
Total : 19.72%
Croatia
1-2
@
5.03%
▲
(+0.25)
0-1 @ 4.95% ▲ (+0.50)
0-2 @ 2.62% ▲ (+0.40)
2-3 @ 1.65% ▲ (+0.05)
1-3 @ 1.62% ▲ (+0.13)
Other @ 1.95% ▲ (+0.11)
Total : 18.55%
0-1 @ 4.95% ▲ (+0.50)
0-2 @ 2.62% ▲ (+0.40)
2-3 @ 1.65% ▲ (+0.05)
1-3 @ 1.62% ▲ (+0.13)
Other @ 1.95% ▲ (+0.11)
Total : 18.55%
