Yeovil Town
National League South | Gameweek 25
Dec 26, 2023 at 3pm UK
Huish Park Stadium

Yeovil
4 - 1
Taunton Town

Nouble (15'), Smith (22'), Murphy (69'), Blu Lo-Everton (72')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Booth (77')
McCootie (86')
Coverage of the National League South clash between Yeovil Town and Taunton Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Yeovil Town

All competitions
National League South
Last Game: Eastbourne 0-1 Yeovil
Saturday, December 23 at 3pm in National League South

Taunton Town

All competitions
Last Game: Taunton Town 2-2 Tonbridge Angels
Saturday, December 23 at 3pm in National League South

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Yeovil Town win with a probability of 66.19%. A draw had a probability of 19.8% and a win for Taunton Town had a probability of 13.97%.

The most likely scoreline for a Yeovil Town win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.36%) and 2-1 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.43%), while for a Taunton Town win it was 0-1 (4.55%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Yeovil Town would win this match.

Result
Yeovil TownDrawTaunton Town
66.19% (-0.175 -0.17)19.84% (0.09 0.09)13.97% (0.085000000000001 0.09)
Both teams to score 49.32% (-0.068000000000005 -0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.51% (-0.207 -0.21)44.49% (0.207 0.21)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.14% (-0.20200000000001 -0.2)66.86% (0.202 0.2)
Yeovil Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.43% (-0.11199999999999 -0.11)12.57% (0.111 0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.37% (-0.233 -0.23)38.63% (0.233 0.23)
Taunton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.41% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)43.59% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.22% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)79.78% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Score Analysis
    Yeovil Town 66.19%
    Taunton Town 13.97%
    Draw 19.84%
Yeovil TownDrawTaunton Town
2-0 @ 11.78% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-0 @ 11.36% (0.059999999999999 0.06)
2-1 @ 9.78% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-0 @ 8.15% (-0.032 -0.03)
3-1 @ 6.76% (-0.028 -0.03)
4-0 @ 4.22% (-0.035 -0.04)
4-1 @ 3.51% (-0.029 -0.03)
3-2 @ 2.81% (-0.011 -0.01)
5-0 @ 1.75% (-0.022 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.46% (-0.013 -0.01)
5-1 @ 1.46% (-0.019 -0.02)
Other @ 3.15%
Total : 66.19%
1-1 @ 9.43% (0.043999999999999 0.04)
0-0 @ 5.48% (0.049 0.05)
2-2 @ 4.06% (0.0010000000000003 0)
Other @ 0.87%
Total : 19.84%
0-1 @ 4.55% (0.04 0.04)
1-2 @ 3.92% (0.018 0.02)
0-2 @ 1.89% (0.016 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.12%
1-3 @ 1.08% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 1.41%
Total : 13.97%