National League South | Gameweek 7
Sep 3, 2022 at 3pm UK
Hardenhuish Park

Chippenham
2 - 1
Dartford

Santos (45' pen.), Young (90+1')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Statham (39')
Coverage of the National League South clash between Chippenham Town and Dartford.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dartford win with a probability of 39.35%. A win for Chippenham Town had a probability of 33.55% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dartford win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.35%) and 0-2 (7.09%). The likeliest Chippenham Town win was 1-0 (9.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.85%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood.

Result
Chippenham TownDrawDartford
33.55% (-0.42 -0.42)27.1% (0.214 0.21)39.35% (0.206 0.21)
Both teams to score 50.31% (-0.75 -0.75)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.01% (-0.913 -0.91)54.99% (0.914 0.91)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.73% (-0.761 -0.76)76.26% (0.76000000000001 0.76)
Chippenham Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.19% (-0.73 -0.73)30.8% (0.731 0.73)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.92% (-0.87 -0.87)67.08% (0.87 0.87)
Dartford Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.71% (-0.312 -0.31)27.29% (0.313 0.31)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.27% (-0.40799999999999 -0.41)62.72% (0.408 0.41)
Score Analysis
    Chippenham Town 33.55%
    Dartford 39.35%
    Draw 27.09%
Chippenham TownDrawDartford
1-0 @ 9.9% (0.151 0.15)
2-1 @ 7.57% (-0.104 -0.1)
2-0 @ 5.83% (-0.028 -0.03)
3-1 @ 2.97% (-0.103 -0.1)
3-0 @ 2.29% (-0.058 -0.06)
3-2 @ 1.93% (-0.084 -0.08)
Other @ 3.07%
Total : 33.55%
1-1 @ 12.85% (0.08 0.08)
0-0 @ 8.41% (0.293 0.29)
2-2 @ 4.92% (-0.112 -0.11)
Other @ 0.92%
Total : 27.09%
0-1 @ 10.91% (0.29 0.29)
1-2 @ 8.35% (-0.019 -0.02)
0-2 @ 7.09% (0.126 0.13)
1-3 @ 3.61% (-0.041 -0.04)
0-3 @ 3.07% (0.027 0.03)
2-3 @ 2.13% (-0.068 -0.07)
1-4 @ 1.17% (-0.023 -0.02)
0-4 @ 1% (0.001 0)
Other @ 2.02%
Total : 39.35%

Head to Head
Mar 12, 2022 3pm
Chippenham
4-2
Dartford
Young (33', 71'), Santos (77'), Hanks (84')
Greenidge (9'), Azeez (80')
Murtagh (43')
Nov 6, 2021 3pm
Dartford
3-3
Chippenham
Azeez (42', 76'), Husin (44')
Griffiths (21'), Aguiar (57'), Russe (90')
Apr 2, 2021 3pm
Oct 27, 2020 7.45pm
Chippenham
1-2
Dartford
Hanks (22')
Bakayoko (8'), Bonner (82')