National League North | Gameweek 45
Apr 21, 2025 at 1pm UK
Flamingo Land Stadium

Scarborough Ath
1 - 0
Darlington

Weledji (76')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Bakre (74')
Coverage of the National League North clash between Scarborough Athletic and Darlington.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Spennymoor 1-1 Scarborough Ath
Friday, April 18 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Darlington 1-1 South Shields
Friday, April 18 at 3pm in National League North

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Scarborough Athletic win with a probability of 54.34%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for Darlington had a probability of 22.24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Scarborough Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.8%) and 2-0 (9.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.1%), while for a Darlington win it was 0-1 (6.29%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Scarborough Athletic in this match.

Result
Scarborough AthleticDrawDarlington
54.34% (-0.072999999999993 -0.07)23.42% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)22.24% (0.082000000000001 0.08)
Both teams to score 53.63% (0.128 0.13)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.21% (0.11799999999999 0.12)46.8% (-0.114 -0.11)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.95% (0.109 0.11)69.05% (-0.105 -0.11)
Scarborough Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.88% (0.019000000000005 0.02)17.12% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.67% (0.028999999999996 0.03)47.34% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
Darlington Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.71% (0.142 0.14)35.3% (-0.138 -0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.95% (0.146 0.15)72.05% (-0.143 -0.14)
Score Analysis
    Scarborough Athletic 54.33%
    Darlington 22.24%
    Draw 23.42%
Scarborough AthleticDrawDarlington
1-0 @ 10.66% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
2-1 @ 9.8%
2-0 @ 9.41% (-0.036 -0.04)
3-1 @ 5.77% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-0 @ 5.54% (-0.018 -0.02)
3-2 @ 3% (0.012 0.01)
4-1 @ 2.54% (0.0020000000000002 0)
4-0 @ 2.44% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.33% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 3.84%
Total : 54.33%
1-1 @ 11.1% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 6.04% (-0.029 -0.03)
2-2 @ 5.1% (0.019 0.02)
3-3 @ 1.04% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 23.42%
0-1 @ 6.29% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
1-2 @ 5.78% (0.019 0.02)
0-2 @ 3.28% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.01% (0.015 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.77% (0.014 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.14% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 1.97%
Total : 22.24%

Head to Head
Dec 26, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 23
Darlington
4-3
Scarborough Ath
Hatfield (13'), Kelly (40', 51'), Lees (56')
Forbes (19' og.), Waldron (33'), King (90')
Bennett (38'), Wiles (75')
Dec 30, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 26
Darlington
0-1
Scarborough Ath
Green (62')
Dec 26, 2023 1pm
Gameweek 25
Scarborough Ath
2-0
Darlington
Rutledge (7' pen.), Green (77')
Jan 2, 2023 1pm
Gameweek 26
Scarborough Ath
2-5
Darlington
Coulson (86', 88' pen.)
Beck (22', 59'), Hazel (34', 54'), Lambert (77')
Dec 26, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 25
Darlington
2-3
Scarborough Ath
Hazel (15'), Beck (68')
Glynn (37'), Tear (43'), Coulson (87')